PnL all-time+$43vol $26.0k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate59.1%adj 54.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,011cash n/a
Positions6 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.5%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$43below peak −$3.03Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale23
Adjusted win rateraw 59.1% · shrunk toward 50%37
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election? · Noclosed+$42Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025? · Yesclosed+$18Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Noclosed+$6.29Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? · Noopen+$3.77Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 16? · Noclosed+$1.93
Worst markets
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4? · Yesopen−$15Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yesopen−$5.04Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025? · Noclosed−$3.52Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion? · Noclosed−$1.99Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series? · Noclosed−$1.95
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 651 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $651 | +$3.77 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on March 29? | No | 360 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $360 | +$0.36 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4? | Yes | 488 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 479 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.04 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March? | Yes | 440 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.76 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 26? | Yes | 190 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.14 | $0 |
Recent trades
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