PnL all-time−$20vol $29.8k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate30.4%adj 39.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$540cash n/a
Positions8 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.3%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$20below peak −$50Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 30.4% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Małopolskie? · Nawrockiclosed+$12Will India win Miss Universe 2025? · Noclosed+$6.50Will Ethereum reach $4200 July 28–August 3? · Noclosed+$4.40Will the People-Animals-Nature Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election? · Noclosed+$3.06Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Noopen+$2.66
Worst markets
Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? · Noclosed−$8.80Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? · Yesopen−$8.12XRP Up or Down on May 19? · Upclosed−$5.20Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? · Noopen−$4.80Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 29? · Noclosed−$4.19
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $2.60 in March? | No | 350 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $350 | +$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 190 | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $190 | +$2.66 | $0 | |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole? | Yes | 360 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | No | 300 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? | Yes | 280 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.12 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 7? | No | 230 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.84 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 11? | Yes | 111 | 0.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $120 in November? | Yes | 30 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.45 | −$2.07 |
Recent trades
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