sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,803

gambaman

0x86a…3674
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$17.3kvol $89.4k
PnL 30d+$5,995gains $3,218 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$800win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 72.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$11.6kcash n/a
Positions18 / 34open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.6%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 6d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$23.0kbelow peak −$849Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%81
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d77
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$9,098Will the government shutdown end November 13? · Yesclosed+$6,339Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Noopen+$5,682US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,141US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,011

Worst markets

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? · Noopen−$1,300LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs · LYONopen−$823Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday? · Noopen−$600Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files? · Yesopen−$400Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yesopen−$350

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No12.2k48.4¢95¢$11.6k+$5,682$0
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?No13.3k4.5¢0¢$0−$600$0
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No3,71934.9¢0¢$0−$1,300$0
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON1,92041.7¢0¢$0−$800−$23
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?Yes1,3331.5¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes1,16730¢0¢$0−$350$0
Ohio State vs. Notre DameNotre Dame1,06731.9¢0¢$0−$340$0
Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?No1,00030¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate?No83312¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?Yes73554.5¢0¢$0−$400$0
Super Bowl LIX WinnerChiefs62524¢0¢$0−$150$0
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1T161041¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?Yes54137¢0¢$0−$200$0
Ravens vs. BillsRavens48152¢0¢$0−$250$0
DePaul vs. GeorgetownGeorgetown47067¢0¢$0−$315$0
Will Kamala say "ceasefire" at debate?No41636.1¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Trump say 'million' 10+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?No40042¢0¢$0−$168$0
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes33330¢0¢$0−$100$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY LYONLoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs36¢1,389$500100%49
BUY LYONLoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs56.4¢532$300100%49
BUY YesWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?1.5¢1,333$20100%49
BUY YesWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?63.5¢211$134100%49
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?52.6¢950$500100%49
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?52.3¢478$250100%49
BUY NoUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?37.9¢2,636$1,000100%49
BUY NoUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?42.6¢1,761$750100%49
BUY NoUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?67.6¢1,479$1,000100%49
BUY NoUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?34.7¢2,305$800100%49
BUY NoUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?79¢588$465100%49
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?50.9¢786$400100%49
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?57.1¢526$300100%49
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?58.3¢172$100100%49
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?81.5¢245$200100%49
BUY NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?73.9¢270$200100%49
BUY YesWill the government shutdown end November 13?32¢3,128$1,000100%49
BUY YesWill the government shutdown end November 13?32.2¢6,211$2,000100%49
BUY T1MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Anyone's Legend55¢909$500100%49
BUY T1MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T141¢610$250100%49