sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,173

PamelaCarr6520

0x86c…4c23@Houston71287452
PoliticsSportCultureOtherWeatherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,039vol $310k
PnL 30d+$1.30gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$20win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate55.9%adj 55.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,525cash n/a
Positions26 / 322open / all-time
Max drawdown−60.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$976below peak −$1,399Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 55.9% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity40

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 26

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump say "JD" or "Vance" during events with Rutte?No68442¢100¢$684+$397$0
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?Yes49426.6¢100¢$494+$363$0
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?No29070¢89.5¢$260+$57+$22
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes6355¢100¢$63+$28+$10
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes33936¢6.5¢$22−$100$0
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?Yes6334¢3.2¢$1.98−$19$0
Rippling IPO before 2027?Yes318¢3.8¢$0.11−$0.43$0
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5Over1,46829¢0¢$0−$426$0
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?No88664¢0¢$0−$567$0
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 31?Yes71332¢0¢$0−$228$0
XRP Up or Down - February 9, 1PM ETUp55249¢0¢$0−$270$0
Will Trump post "AG" or "Attorney General" this week on Truth Social?No53135¢0¢$0−$186$0
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes23462¢0¢$0−$145$0
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No13034.2¢0¢$0−$44$0
Will "Weird" or "Weirdo" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?No12333¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 3%?Yes751.7¢0¢$0−$1.27$0
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under6124¢0¢$0−$15$0
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes5062¢0¢$0−$31+$6.24
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?Yes4316¢0¢$0−$6.88+$106
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?No3114.8¢0¢$0−$4.59$0
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes2530¢0¢$0−$7.50+$3.29
Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?Yes237¢0¢$0−$1.61$0
Named storm forms before hurricane season?Yes2043¢0¢$0−$8.60−$38
Will Klint Kubiak be the next Giants Head Coach?Yes412¢0¢$0−$0.48−$1.90
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?Yes23.7¢0¢$0−$0.09$0
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?No169¢0¢$0−$0.69+$8.00

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesNew pandemic in 2026?10¢417$4256%43
SELL NoWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?25.1¢775$19556%43
SELL NoWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?25.1¢26$6.5356%43
SELL NoIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?88¢340$29956%43
BUY NoWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?29.8¢801$23956%43
BUY NoWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?64¢886$56756%43
SELL NoWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?58¢78$4556%43
SELL NoWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?58¢507$29456%43
SELL NoWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?58¢581$33756%43
SELL NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?27¢508$13756%43
SELL NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?27¢553$14956%43
SELL NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?27¢561$15156%43
SELL NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?27¢13$3.5156%43
BUY NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?28¢1,635$45856%43
BUY NoWill Trump post "AG" or "Attorney General" this week on Truth Social?35¢531$18656%43
SELL NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?27¢104$2856%43
SELL NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?26¢7$1.8256%43
SELL NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?29¢278$8156%43
SELL NoWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?28¢265$7456%43
SELL NoWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?73¢7$5.1156%43