| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 20.4k | 0.7¢ | 48.4¢ | $9,883 | +$9,732 | +$2,239 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.1k | 0.7¢ | 15.1¢ | $3,632 | +$3,454 | +$136 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 2.8¢ | $688 | +$502 | $0 | |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 2.4¢ | $600 | +$415 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 600 | 17¢ | 95¢ | $570 | +$468 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 500 | 16¢ | 94.5¢ | $473 | +$393 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 8¢ | 91.9¢ | $460 | +$420 | $0 | |
| Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 385 | 39¢ | 99.7¢ | $384 | +$234 | +$46 | |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | 22¢ | 95.3¢ | $381 | +$293 | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Hawks | Hawks | 485 | 3¢ | 62.7¢ | $304 | +$290 | +$189 | |
| Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 296 | 6.1¢ | 92.6¢ | $274 | +$256 | +$84 | |
| Will Désiré Doué record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | No | 280 | 39¢ | 96.8¢ | $271 | +$162 | $0 | |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 9¢ | 67¢ | $268 | +$232 | $0 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 277 | 3.5¢ | 96.5¢ | $267 | +$257 | +$119 | |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 226 | 0.7¢ | 96¢ | $217 | +$216 | $0 | |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 256 | 65.3¢ | 83.5¢ | $214 | +$47 | −$18 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 311 | 0.5¢ | 68.7¢ | $214 | +$212 | +$2.26 | |
| Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? | No | 734 | 14.1¢ | 26.5¢ | $194 | +$91 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 253 | 59.4¢ | 75.5¢ | $191 | +$41 | −$7.27 | |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.8¢ | $188 | +$2.34 | $0 | |
| Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 241 | 29¢ | 76.5¢ | $184 | +$114 | $0 | |
| Will Drake release a new album by December 31? | No | 223 | 79.2¢ | 82.5¢ | $184 | +$7.30 | +$0.81 | |
| Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | Yes | 182 | 0.3¢ | 99.4¢ | $181 | +$180 | $0 | |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 212 | 31¢ | 84.5¢ | $179 | +$113 | $0 | |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 600 | 17¢ | 29.5¢ | $177 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 246 | 0.7¢ | 71.3¢ | $175 | +$174 | +$35 | |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? | No | 180 | 87.1¢ | 96¢ | $173 | +$16 | −$2.40 | |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | Yes | 217 | 27.7¢ | 79.5¢ | $173 | +$112 | $0 | |
| Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 300 | 18¢ | 57¢ | $171 | +$117 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 174 | 10¢ | 97.2¢ | $169 | +$152 | $0 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 196 | 3.2¢ | 86¢ | $169 | +$163 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 202 | 75.9¢ | 83¢ | $168 | +$14 | −$41 | |
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | No | 363 | 30.2¢ | 45.8¢ | $166 | +$56 | +$15 | |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | No | 166 | 28¢ | 93.5¢ | $156 | +$109 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | 500 | 12¢ | 31¢ | $155 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | Yes | 166 | 19.7¢ | 88.5¢ | $147 | +$114 | +$84 | |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 168 | 63.2¢ | 87.4¢ | $146 | +$40 | −$2.64 | |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 151 | 35¢ | 96.3¢ | $145 | +$92 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 149 | 8¢ | 97¢ | $144 | +$132 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30? | No | 199 | 76.6¢ | 70.5¢ | $140 | −$12 | −$17 | |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | No | 153 | 19.8¢ | 87¢ | $133 | +$103 | $0 | |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | Yes | 130 | 52.9¢ | 97¢ | $126 | +$57 | +$5.33 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 143 | 82.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $124 | +$5.52 | $0 | |
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | No | 200 | 68.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $123 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 143 | 1.5¢ | 85.4¢ | $122 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 119 | 5.3¢ | 98.3¢ | $117 | +$111 | $0 | |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | No | 118 | 5¢ | 96¢ | $113 | +$107 | $0 | |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.5¢ | $113 | −$73 | $0 | |
| Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane? | No | 120 | 93.2¢ | 93¢ | $112 | −$0.30 | $0 | |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 375 | 25¢ | 29.5¢ | $111 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 398 | 2.8¢ | 27.6¢ | $110 | +$98 | +$38 | |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 189 | 7.8¢ | 57.7¢ | $109 | +$94 | $0 | |
| Will Henrik Fritzon be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne? | No | 110 | 56.7¢ | 98.5¢ | $108 | +$46 | −$4.40 | |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | Yes | 320 | 15.4¢ | 32.2¢ | $103 | +$54 | +$84 | |
| AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? | No | 109 | 7.4¢ | 94.4¢ | $103 | +$95 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | 196 | 0.9¢ | 51.5¢ | $101 | +$99 | $0 | |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $100 | −$85 | $0 | |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Yes | 153 | 19¢ | 63¢ | $96 | +$67 | +$1.86 | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 104 | 21¢ | 88.5¢ | $92 | +$70 | +$21 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 197 | 18¢ | 45¢ | $89 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | No | 105 | 91¢ | 84.5¢ | $88 | −$6.75 | −$69 | |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $88 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $88 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $88 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25.0k | 0.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $88 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? | No | 300 | 16¢ | 29¢ | $87 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | No | 100 | 81.5¢ | 85.5¢ | $86 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 800 | 12¢ | 10.5¢ | $84 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 123 | 14.5¢ | 68¢ | $84 | +$66 | +$0.18 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 367 | 16.4¢ | 22.5¢ | $83 | +$23 | +$42 | |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | Yes | 300 | 8¢ | 27.5¢ | $83 | +$59 | $0 | |
| Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 600 | 11¢ | 13.5¢ | $81 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 400 | 16¢ | 20¢ | $80 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above? | Yes | 96 | 76.1¢ | 82.5¢ | $79 | +$6.14 | −$92 | |
| Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | No | 764 | 37.1¢ | 10.3¢ | $79 | −$205 | $0 | |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 96 | 31¢ | 82¢ | $79 | +$49 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | Yes | 110 | 91¢ | 70.5¢ | $78 | −$23 | −$3.60 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 316 | 27¢ | 24.5¢ | $77 | −$7.90 | $0 | |
| Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026? | No | 86 | 21¢ | 88.5¢ | $76 | +$58 | $0 | |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 80 | 11¢ | 95.4¢ | $76 | +$67 | −$11 | |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | No | 90 | 17¢ | 84¢ | $76 | +$60 | −$1.82 | |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 600 | 14¢ | 12.5¢ | $75 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? | Yes | 102 | 27¢ | 73.5¢ | $75 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 281 | 15.6¢ | 26.5¢ | $74 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | No | 131 | 62.3¢ | 56.5¢ | $74 | −$7.62 | −$40 | |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 300 | 17¢ | 24.5¢ | $74 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | Yes | 966 | 6.3¢ | 7.5¢ | $72 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? | Yes | 219 | 14.4¢ | 33¢ | $72 | +$41 | +$7.17 | |
| OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026? | No | 90 | 51.1¢ | 80¢ | $72 | +$26 | +$1.15 | |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | No | 96 | 77.4¢ | 73.5¢ | $71 | −$3.77 | −$6.53 | |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 111 | 11.4¢ | 63.4¢ | $70 | +$58 | +$272 | |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 122 | 22¢ | 57.5¢ | $70 | +$43 | −$10 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 88 | 4¢ | 80¢ | $70 | +$67 | +$6.78 | |
| Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 92 | 25.8¢ | 76¢ | $70 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 133 | 52.8¢ | 52.5¢ | $70 | −$0.40 | −$1.60 | |
| Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? | Yes | 293 | 12¢ | 23.5¢ | $69 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 151 | 38.4¢ | 45.5¢ | $69 | +$11 | +$1.40 | |
| Extended listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE? | Yes | 211 | 12.6¢ | 32.5¢ | $68 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027? | No | 70 | 91¢ | 97.1¢ | $68 | +$4.24 | $0 | |
| Will Emma Myers be the live-action Gwen Stacy? | Yes | 261 | 11¢ | 26¢ | $68 | +$39 | $0 | |
