PnL all-time+$33vol $4,591
PnL 30d−$208gains $57 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$38win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$993cash n/a
Positions8 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.2%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$18below peak −$122Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale22
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Noopen+$68Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$40Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? · Noopen+$37EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? · Yesclosed+$14Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · Noclosed+$11
Worst markets
Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? · Noopen−$221Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? · Noopen−$84Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? · Noopen−$77Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yesopen−$20Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? · Yesopen−$10
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | No | 648 | 88¢ | 98.5¢ | $638 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026? | No | 278 | 71.9¢ | 85¢ | $237 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026? | No | 512 | 58.6¢ | 15.5¢ | $79 | −$221 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026? | No | 287 | 34.8¢ | 8¢ | $23 | −$77 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026? | No | 134 | 74.4¢ | 12¢ | $16 | −$84 | $0 |
Recent trades
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