sharpside
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Traders/Rank #215

ciro2

0x879…7544
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$886kvol $38.8M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate70.4%adj 69.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions169 / 600open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.8%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$839kbelow peak −$3,380Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale85
Adjusted win rateraw 70.4% · shrunk toward 50%74
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable93
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes187k0.1¢0¢$0−$242+$209
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes156k0.7¢0¢$0−$1,021+$776
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes136k11.5¢0¢$0−$15.6k−$7,751
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes128k2.7¢0¢$0−$3,415+$3,171
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes120k0.4¢0¢$0−$482+$474
Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Katy Perry be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Mikey Madison be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Beyoncé be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes119k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes118k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes117k7.3¢0¢$0−$8,548+$3,649
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes109k16.8¢0¢$0−$18.4k+$1,495
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes107k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes93.9k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes87.8k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes86.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes83.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?Yes83.3k17.7¢0¢$0−$14.7k−$11.5k
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?No75.2k12.9¢0¢$0−$9,722−$16.9k
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?No70.3k35.3¢0¢$0−$24.8k+$1,037
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes69.6k17.2¢0¢$0−$12.0k+$4,514
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes68.7k7.5¢0¢$0−$5,160−$9,189
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?No61.0k34.8¢0¢$0−$21.3k−$6,704
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?Yes59.5k46.3¢0¢$0−$27.5k+$22.7k
Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes53.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes51.3k22.8¢0¢$0−$11.7k+$462
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Yes51.0k3.8¢0¢$0−$1,935$0
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes46.9k7¢0¢$0−$3,300+$2,984
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes45.2k0.4¢0¢$0−$175$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No45.0k12.2¢0¢$0−$5,482+$768
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes43.1k1.1¢0¢$0−$488$0
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes34.8k12.8¢0¢$0−$4,454$0
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes31.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes31.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes31.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes31.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes31.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes31.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes31.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes31.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Yes31.0k22.4¢0¢$0−$6,955−$182
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Yes29.5k13¢0¢$0−$3,826+$2,991
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes28.4k3.8¢0¢$0−$1,083+$879
Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes27.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes27.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Brad Lander win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes27.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Scott Stringer win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes27.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes27.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes26.0k12.4¢0¢$0−$3,218−$2,851
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?No24.8k79¢0¢$0−$19.6k−$11.3k
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes24.3k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes23.6k6.3¢0¢$0−$1,498+$15.4k
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes23.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes23.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes23.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes23.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes23.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes23.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Taylor Swift be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes23.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes23.1k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Eric Adams drop out?No22.5k31.7¢0¢$0−$7,144−$3,036
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes22.5k5.4¢0¢$0−$1,206+$883
Will Zellnor Myrie win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes22.3k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes20.2k7.7¢0¢$0−$1,552+$215
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No20.0k4.4¢0¢$0−$880+$308
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No19.6k8¢0¢$0−$1,560+$213
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes18.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?Yes18.1k14.2¢0¢$0−$2,578−$2,968
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes17.7k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes17.3k35.9¢0¢$0−$6,220$0
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Yes14.6k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?Yes14.3k7¢0¢$0−$999−$1,810
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?No14.2k49.1¢0¢$0−$6,960−$14
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes13.5k16.7¢0¢$0−$2,258+$1,118
US government shutdown in 2025?No13.0k19.8¢0¢$0−$2,578−$271
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No12.7k43.4¢0¢$0−$5,525+$1,971
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes12.7k9.8¢0¢$0−$1,242−$11.3k
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?Yes11.9k9.8¢0¢$0−$1,168−$951
Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?No11.8k17.3¢0¢$0−$2,040−$341
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No11.6k23.4¢0¢$0−$2,710−$7.84
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No11.5k5.6¢0¢$0−$645+$5,452
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes10.2k0.5¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes9,98050.2¢0¢$0−$5,012−$14.7k
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No9,30023.4¢0¢$0−$2,175$0
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes9,0953.4¢0¢$0−$309$0
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?No8,4003.9¢0¢$0−$326$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No8,36853.5¢0¢$0−$4,476−$4,725
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?Yes8,34023.5¢0¢$0−$1,957$0
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes8,1770¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes8,1770¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes8,1770¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Ursula von der Leyen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes8,1770¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes8,1770¢0¢$0$0$0
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes8,1770¢0¢$0$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?24.5¢1,995$48870%60
SELL YesWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?26.3¢3,862$1,01670%60
BUY YesWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?80¢5$3.7770%60
BUY YesWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?82¢1,773$1,45470%60
BUY YesWill António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?25¢2,540$63570%60
BUY YesWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?80¢376$30170%60
BUY YesWill Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?80.7¢3,788$3,05770%60
SELL NoWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?99.2¢34.3k$34.1k70%60Whale
SELL NoWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?99.3¢20.0k$19.9k70%60Whale
BUY YesWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?89¢2,994$2,66570%60
SELL YesWill Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?36¢281$10170%60
BUY YesWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?92¢6,779$6,23770%60
BUY NoWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?98.8¢56.1k$55.4k70%60Whale
BUY NoWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?3.8¢178$6.8270%60
BUY YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?51.5¢456$23570%60
BUY YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?41¢1,281$52570%60
BUY YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?40.8¢1,400$57170%60
SELL YesWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?59.2¢1,539$91270%60
BUY YesWill Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?5.7¢1,609$9270%60
BUY NoWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?98.2¢365$35870%60