Traders/Rank #5,611

DarkFish

0x87c…6232

SportPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$5,245vol $329k

PnL 30d−$2,064gains $13.3k · losses $15.2k

PnL 7d−$3,549win rate 7d 58.0%

Win rate56.4%adj 56.2% · 30d 57.1%

Open value$8,740cash n/a

Positions81 / 1,053open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age2molast trade 8m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$3,228below peak −$4,207Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 56.4% · shrunk toward 50%41

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin · Daniil Glinkaclosed+$2,458 Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner · Legacyclosed+$840 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner · Team Falconsclosed+$689 Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Spiritclosed+$469 Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · Team Falconsclosed+$431

Worst markets

Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · PARIVISIONclosed−$2,220 Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$1,891 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Noclosed−$974 Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? · Yesclosed−$853 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? · Yesclosed−$592

Open positions · 81

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	2,090	72¢	71.5¢	$1,494	−$10	$0	ended
Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?	Yes	990	58.2¢	83.5¢	$827	+$251	+$4.93	13d 7h
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	1,013	78.2¢	79.5¢	$806	+$13	$0	3mo
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	1,132	58.8¢	60.5¢	$685	+$19	$0	13d 7h
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	Yes	685	77.2¢	98.7¢	$676	+$147	+$6.87	ended
Will Arruda win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	No	519	90.3¢	100¢	$519	+$50	$0	ended
Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	630	63.7¢	66.5¢	$419	+$17	$0	13d 7h
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?	Yes	513	64.2¢	59.5¢	$305	−$24	$0	ended
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	411	47.1¢	48.5¢	$199	+$5.57	$0	27d 7h
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	396	49.1¢	47¢	$186	−$8.34	$0	27d 7h
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	250	60¢	62¢	$155	+$5.00	$0	9mo
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	213	69.8¢	67.5¢	$144	−$4.88	$0	48d 7h
Will Jozef Viskupič win the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial election?	Yes	150	78¢	92.5¢	$139	+$22	$0	13d 7h
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	200	55¢	51.5¢	$103	−$7.00	$0	9mo
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	140	70.7¢	67¢	$94	−$5.20	$0	3mo
Will Michal Vozobule be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	No	90	90.3¢	100¢	$90	+$8.64	+$2.08	ended
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	200	41¢	41.5¢	$83	+$1.00	$0	23d 7h
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election?	No	100	70¢	80¢	$80	+$10	$0	8mo
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	80	92.5¢	99.3¢	$79	+$5.44	$0	18d 7h
Will Marek Illéš win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	No	76	80.7¢	99.4¢	$76	+$14	$0	13d 7h
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	200	40.8¢	37.7¢	$75	−$6.30	$0	3mo
Will Matouš Pelikán be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	No	76	94¢	96.8¢	$73	+$2.12	$0	ended
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	282	52.7¢	22.2¢	$63	−$86	−$106	23d 7h
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election?	Yes	100	65¢	61.5¢	$62	−$3.50	$0	8mo
Will Mewgenics win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	70	74¢	85.5¢	$60	+$8.05	$0	59d 7h
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	60	85¢	98.9¢	$59	+$8.31	$0	18d 7h
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	100	59¢	59¢	$59	$0	$0	20d 7h
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	100	38¢	49.5¢	$50	+$12	$0	14d 7h
Will Peter Harvánek be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	No	46	90.4¢	99.4¢	$46	+$4.08	$0	ended
Will Rostislav Řeha be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	No	45	96¢	99.7¢	$45	+$1.64	$0	ended
Will Lukáš Semerák be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	No	45	96¢	99.6¢	$45	+$1.60	$0	ended
Will Ondřej Němeček be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	No	45	96¢	99.4¢	$45	+$1.51	$0	ended
Will Ivana Lucáková Nesétová be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	No	45	96¢	99¢	$45	+$1.33	$0	ended
Will Otakar Štěpán Bačák be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	No	45	96¢	98.4¢	$44	+$1.06	$0	ended
Will Matěj Gregor be the next Mayor of Ostrava?	No	45	96¢	97.9¢	$44	+$0.83	$0	ended
Will Igor Kršiak win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?	Yes	242	26.3¢	16.5¢	$40	−$24	+$11	13d 7h
Will Petr Netolický be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	No	42	88.5¢	94.2¢	$40	+$2.42	$0	9mo
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	150	31.9¢	25.8¢	$39	−$9.15	$0	59d 7h
Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	40	75¢	96¢	$38	+$8.40	$0	13d 7h
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Yucatán Congress election?	Yes	111	25¢	34.5¢	$38	+$11	$0	8mo
Will DENDELE CS qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	50	45¢	76¢	$38	+$16	$0	3mo
Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	261	37.8¢	14.5¢	$38	−$61	$0	7d 7h
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	60	62¢	62.5¢	$38	+$0.30	$0	42d 7h
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	543	0.7¢	6.5¢	$35	+$31	$0	27d 7h
Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	No	48	67¢	63.5¢	$31	−$1.68	$0	13d 7h
Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31?	Yes	212	11.5¢	13.5¢	$29	+$4.23	$0	3mo
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	80	36¢	34.5¢	$28	−$1.20	$0	59d 7h
Will Daniel Vondra be the next Mayor of Pardubice?	No	27	88.5¢	97.1¢	$27	+$2.36	+$1.64	9mo
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	Yes	37	55¢	65.5¢	$24	+$3.90	+$13	13d 7h
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	40	64¢	60¢	$24	−$1.60	$0	3mo
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	Yes	120	25.7¢	19¢	$23	−$8.00	$0	8mo
Will paiN Gaming qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	100	35¢	22.5¢	$23	−$13	$0	3mo
Will Tibor Batthyány be the next Mayor of Liberec?	No	23	92¢	97.2¢	$22	+$1.18	$0	ended
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?	No	20	90¢	99.6¢	$20	+$1.91	$0	8mo
Will Zdeněk Chmelík be the next Mayor of Liberec?	No	19	91¢	99.8¢	$19	+$1.69	$0	ended
Will "Street Fighter" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	20	50¢	95.4¢	$19	+$9.08	$0	7d 7h
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň?	Yes	20	42¢	89.6¢	$18	+$9.51	$0	ended
Will Jan Hruška be the next Mayor of Liberec?	No	19	92¢	95.8¢	$18	+$0.71	$0	ended
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election?	Yes	40	25¢	44.5¢	$18	+$7.80	$0	8mo
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	Yes	100	10¢	15.5¢	$15	+$5.45	$0	8mo
Will Imperial Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	20	55¢	73.5¢	$15	+$3.70	$0	3mo
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	200	33¢	6.5¢	$13	−$53	$0	3mo
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	31	17.2¢	38.4¢	$12	+$6.56	−$6.85	59d 7h
Will Toy Story 5 rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026?	Yes	20	35.7¢	33¢	$6.60	−$0.55	+$14	3mo
Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	162	8¢	3.8¢	$6.14	−$6.79	$0	7d 7h
Will FaZe Clan qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	20	65¢	24¢	$4.80	−$8.20	$0	3mo
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31?	Yes	80	26¢	4.5¢	$3.60	−$17	$0	20d 7h
Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	80	4.7¢	3.3¢	$2.60	−$1.14	$0	7d 7h
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	311	10.4¢	0.7¢	$2.02	−$30	$0	23d 7h
Will Jozef Ráž win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?	Yes	40	11.8¢	3.2¢	$1.28	−$3.46	$0	13d 7h
Will Artúr Benes win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?	No	1	89¢	95.1¢	$0.96	+$0.06	$0	13d 7h
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	289	3.1¢	0.3¢	$0.72	−$8.36	$0	23d 7h
Will BIG qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	2	35¢	27.5¢	$0.42	−$0.12	$0	3mo
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	108	15.6¢	0.3¢	$0.27	−$17	$0	7h 56m
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	61	64.5¢	0.3¢	$0.18	−$39	$0	7h 56m
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	60	8.5¢	0.2¢	$0.12	−$5.01	$0	7h 56m
Will "Other Mommy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	30	10¢	0.4¢	$0.10	−$2.90	$0	7h 56m
Will Jan Vašíř be the next Mayor of Olomouc?	Yes	20	5¢	0.2¢	$0.03	−$0.97	$0	ended
Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial election?	Yes	2	1.4¢	1.3¢	$0.02	$0	+$23	ended
Will Aurora Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	972	4.3¢	0¢	$0	−$42	−$1.97	14d 7h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces	Las Vegas Aces	140	83.9¢	0¢	$0	−$117	−$0.95	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
8m ago	SELL No	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	57¢	100	$57	56%	35
24m ago	SELL Yes	Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	29.2¢	21	$6.14	56%	35
24m ago	SELL Yes	Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	29¢	21	$6.19	56%	35
31m ago	BUY Yes	Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	27¢	500	$135	56%	35
33m ago	BUY Vitality	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner	64¢	185	$118	56%	35
39m ago	BUY Vitality	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	79.7¢	1,200	$957	56%	35
43m ago	SELL Over	Games Total: O/U 3.5	70¢	59	$41	56%	35
44m ago	BUY Vitality	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	65¢	1,000	$650	56%	35
45m ago	BUY Vitality	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	63¢	800	$504	56%	35
46m ago	SELL MOUZ	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	42.5¢	1,279	$544	56%	35
50m ago	BUY MOUZ	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	62¢	300	$186	56%	35
51m ago	BUY MOUZ	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	57¢	5	$2.85	56%	35
54m ago	BUY MOUZ	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	60¢	900	$540	56%	35
56m ago	BUY Over	Games Total: O/U 3.5	78¢	2,000	$1,560	56%	35
1h ago	BUY Vitality	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	65¢	1,500	$975	56%	35
1h ago	SELL Over	Games Total: O/U 3.5	71¢	1,401	$994	56%	35
2h ago	SELL Spirit	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	8¢	500	$40	56%	35
2h ago	BUY Spirit	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	18¢	500	$90	56%	35
2h ago	BUY Over	Games Total: O/U 3.5	72¢	2,090	$1,505	56%	35
2h ago	SELL Spirit	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	12¢	900	$108	56%	35