PnL all-time−$564vol $394k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$500cash n/a
Positions6 / 12open / all-time
Max drawdown−29.3%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$564below peak −$255Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable36
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity71
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Noclosed−$643James Comey arrested by April 30? · Noopen−$109Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? · Yesclosed−$103Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? · Yesclosed−$98Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Noopen−$32
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 571 | 87.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $500 | −$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 600 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 350 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | $0 | |
| James Comey arrested by April 30? | No | 133 | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$109 | $0 | |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 21¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY Yes | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 87.5¢ | 571 | $500 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | James Comey arrested by April 30? | 82¢ | 133 | $109 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? | 21¢ | 100 | $21 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 0.2¢ | 25.0k | $50 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 0.2¢ | 71.1k | $142 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 0.3¢ | 20.0k | $60 | 50% | 13 | |||
| SELL No | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | 45.6¢ | 112 | $51 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | 49.9¢ | 702 | $350 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 0.3¢ | 33.3k | $100 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 0.3¢ | 36.7k | $110 | 50% | 13 | |||
| BUY No | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 0.3¢ | 30.0k | $90 | 50% | 13 |