PnL all-time−$4,949vol $40.9k
PnL 30d−$4.20gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$9.60win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate92.3%adj 66.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$383cash n/a
Positions13 / 28open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$4,917below peak −$5,096Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 92.3% · shrunk toward 50%67
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025? · Yesclosed+$68France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Franceclosed+$39Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? · Yesopen+$39Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? · Yesclosed+$31Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? · Noopen+$29
Worst markets
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner · Gen.Gopen−$3,700Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? · Yesopen−$400LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) · Top Esportsopen−$375Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Noopen−$254Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesopen−$165
Open positions · 13
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 140 | 72.1¢ | 100¢ | $140 | +$39 | $0 | |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? | No | 100 | 71¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$29 | $0 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 120 | 63¢ | 77.5¢ | $93 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | No | 50 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$3.50 | −$257 | |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 5,000 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,700 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 3,000 | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$165 | $0 | |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | No | 3,000 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | $0 | |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Top Esports | 1,500 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$375 | $0 | |
| Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? | Yes | 1,000 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$400 | $0 | |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | G2 Esports | 200 | 31¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | $0 | |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 27? | Yes | 110 | 41¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | −$1.06 | |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco? | Yes | 100 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | −$0.32 | |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Ravens | 10 | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.60 | $0 |
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