PnL all-time−$231vol $25.5k
PnL 30d−$2,061gains $453 · losses $878
PnL 7d−$252win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate78.3%adj 65.1% · 30d 78.6%
Open value$7,949cash n/a
Positions21 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age34dlast trade 10d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$862below peak −$2,572Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 78.3% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d64
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$149Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$146Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026? · Noopen+$128Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? · Noopen+$103Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? · Yesopen+$77
Worst markets
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? · Yesclosed−$679Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$462Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yesopen−$196Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? · Yesclosed−$188Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yesopen−$147
Open positions · 21
Recent trades
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