PnL all-time+$589vol $11.3k
PnL 30d+$175gains $175 · losses $6.84
PnL 7d+$33win rate 7d 87.5%
Win rate76.4%adj 73.5% · 30d 89.3%
Open value$198cash n/a
Positions1 / 169open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.6%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 40m ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$612below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 76.4% · shrunk toward 50%84
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$392Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 1°C or below on September 16? · Yesclosed+$34Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 28? · Yesclosed+$17Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 5°C on September 11? · Yesclosed+$15Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8? · Noclosed+$14
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 27? · Noclosed−$24Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on July 31? · Noclosed−$19Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$16Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 10? · Yesclosed−$12Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 12? · Yesclosed−$11
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | No | 208 | 96¢ | 95¢ | $198 | −$2.08 | $0 |
Recent trades
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