sharpside
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Traders/Rank #193

BowlOfPunch

0x889…09e0
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$940kvol $51.5M
PnL 30d+$0.01gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.9%adj 60.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$49cash n/a
Positions70 / 1,181open / all-time
Max drawdown−74.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 7mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$940kbelow peak −$21.8kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale85
Adjusted win rateraw 60.9% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity26

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 70

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No3359¢100¢$33+$13$0
Trump out as President before GTA VI?Yes2432.2¢50¢$12+$4.35$0
GTA VI released before June 2026?No394¢100¢$2.63+$0.16+$160
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes125¢50¢$0.73+$0.37+$7,528
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes121.3¢50¢$0.54+$0.31+$428
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?No168k49.1¢0¢$0−$82.5k$0
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes159k31¢0¢$0−$49.3k$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Yes123k10.1¢0¢$0−$12.4k+$2,132
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No111k52.5¢0¢$0−$58.5k$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?Yes96.0k8¢0¢$0−$7,693$0
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?No93.5k42.2¢0¢$0−$39.5k$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No90.0k44.8¢0¢$0−$40.3k$0
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes83.7k14¢0¢$0−$11.7k+$16.6k
Will the Government shutdown end October 3-5?Yes64.5k7¢0¢$0−$4,514$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes63.9k6.3¢0¢$0−$4,005+$3,921
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?Yes63.4k15¢0¢$0−$9,507$0
Chiefs vs. ChargersChiefs55.9k29.6¢0¢$0−$16.5k$0
49ers vs. RamsRams51.5k53¢0¢$0−$27.3k$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?Yes50.0k18¢0¢$0−$9,000$0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes49.9k4¢0¢$0−$1,997+$35.1k
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?No48.5k27.8¢0¢$0−$13.5k$0
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes47.7k8.7¢0¢$0−$4,142$0
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes44.9k45.6¢0¢$0−$20.5k−$185
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Yes39.5k23¢0¢$0−$9,098$0
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025No38.9k16¢0¢$0−$6,218$0
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?No37.7k4¢0¢$0−$1,508$0
TCU vs. North CarolinaNorth Carolina30.0k39.4¢0¢$0−$11.8k$0
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Yes25.1k12.9¢0¢$0−$3,248$0
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?No24.3k49¢0¢$0−$11.9k$0
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?Yes19.6k6.8¢0¢$0−$1,325$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes19.3k14.9¢0¢$0−$2,862$0
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?Yes16.9k3.8¢0¢$0−$644$0
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?Yes16.6k2¢0¢$0−$331$0
Will Eric Adams drop out?No15.3k33.9¢0¢$0−$5,178$0
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?No15.0k5¢0¢$0−$750$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?Yes13.4k18.8¢0¢$0−$2,526+$18.1k
US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?Yes11.2k38.7¢0¢$0−$4,338$0
US national XRP reserve in 2025?Yes9,14419.8¢0¢$0−$1,813$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?Yes6,3409.9¢0¢$0−$629$0
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes5,17812.9¢0¢$0−$667$0
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?Yes4,11814.9¢0¢$0−$615+$520
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes4,04137.5¢0¢$0−$1,514$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday?Yes4,0211¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes3,47814¢0¢$0−$487$0
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?Yes3,03030¢0¢$0−$909$0
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?No2,88323.2¢0¢$0−$669$0
Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday?Yes2,77726.9¢0¢$0−$746$0
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the AFC North?Yes2,77628¢0¢$0−$777$0
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Yes2,52227¢0¢$0−$681$0
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?Yes2,34815.2¢0¢$0−$356$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No2,07968.3¢0¢$0−$1,420$0
US national Solana reserve in 2025?Yes1,98424.7¢0¢$0−$490$0
OpenAI browser in July?Yes1,86819.8¢0¢$0−$369$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes1,80927.2¢0¢$0−$491$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes1,80714.5¢0¢$0−$263$0
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? No1,74958.5¢0¢$0−$1,022$0
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?Yes1,63313¢0¢$0−$212$0
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?No1,51848.7¢0¢$0−$740$0
Will the Commanders win the 2026 NFC Championship?Yes1,33610¢0¢$0−$134$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No1,27258¢0¢$0−$738$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes1,19540.1¢0¢$0−$479$0
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?Yes6626.1¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?Yes5231.6¢0¢$0−$8.36$0
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes48010.3¢0¢$0−$50+$80
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No42749.9¢0¢$0−$213$0
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes40515.3¢0¢$0−$62+$96
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?Yes21628¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?Yes1522.8¢0¢$0−$4.27$0
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No8745.6¢0¢$0−$40−$7,218
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No1045.8¢0¢$0−$4.72−$35.3k

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?96.3¢254$24561%50
SELL YesWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?4.9¢10.8k$52861%50
SELL YesWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?51¢1,441$73561%50
SELL NoWill GTA 6 cost $100+?99¢2,291$2,26961%50
SELL NoGTA VI released before June 2026?96.8¢73$7161%50
SELL NoWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?90¢2,829$2,54661%50
SELL NoGTA VI released before June 2026?97¢447$43461%50
SELL YesWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?48¢5,566$2,67261%50
SELL YesWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?48¢32.7k$15.7k61%50Whale
SELL NoWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?40¢128k$51.2k61%50Whale
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?91.5¢61.6k$56.4k61%50Whale
SELL NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?83¢79.4k$65.9k61%50Whale
SELL NoWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?34¢299k$102k61%50Whale
SELL NoWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?34¢10$3.4061%50
SELL NoWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?34¢10$3.3661%50
SELL NoWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?96.4¢114k$110k61%50Whale
SELL NoWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?96.4¢200k$193k61%50Whale
SELL NoWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?96.4¢200k$193k61%50Whale
SELL NoWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?96.4¢200k$193k61%50Whale
SELL NoWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?96.4¢200k$193k61%50Whale