sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,664

almost-never

0x88b…205c
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$91.2kvol $11.8M
PnL 30d+$40.3kgains $40.5k · losses $990
PnL 7d+$37.8kwin rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate46.9%adj 47.0% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$289kcash n/a
Positions37 / 489open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.5%of equity peak
Account age2.5ylast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$118kbelow peak −$1,057Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale71
Adjusted win rateraw 46.9% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d82
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No260k50¢81¢$210k+$80.5k$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes260k50¢19.1¢$49.5k−$80.5k$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes31.3k62.1¢61.5¢$19.2k−$183$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No11.0k80¢90.5¢$9,955+$1,155$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes30080¢90.5¢$272+$32$0
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Yes42.3k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,840−$1.68
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Yes42.3k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,840−$1.68
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Yes42.3k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,840−$1.68
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?Yes42.3k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,840−$1.68
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Yes42.3k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,840−$1.68
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes40.5k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,760−$79
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?Yes40.0k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,739−$100
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Yes38.8k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,683−$154
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Yes38.8k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,683−$154
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?Yes38.0k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,648−$189
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?Yes37.3k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,622−$214
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?Yes36.7k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,595−$240
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?Yes35.9k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,560−$275
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?Yes35.1k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,523−$311
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?Yes35.0k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,521+$78
Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?Yes27.8k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,206−$621
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?Yes25.3k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,099−$724
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes24.3k4.3¢0¢$0−$1,054+$255
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?Yes21.6k4.3¢0¢$0−$939−$629
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?Yes8,6584.3¢0¢$0−$376+$1,567
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3,00017.9¢0¢$0−$538+$1,652
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?Yes2,00049.9¢0¢$0−$998+$208
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia50031.4¢0¢$0−$157$0
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?No45520.2¢0¢$0−$92−$2.59
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No2604.9¢0¢$0−$13−$0.49
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Yes20556¢0¢$0−$115−$2.53
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes2006.5¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Erika Kokay win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes1702.3¢0¢$0−$3.94−$0.15
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?Yes1409.7¢0¢$0−$14$0
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo10023¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Yes906.1¢0¢$0−$5.46−$0.21
Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Yes192¢0¢$0−$0.39−$0.02

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?97¢156$15147%58
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 48% and 51% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?97.5¢1,092$1,06547%58
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?95¢6,635$6,30347%58
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?94.5¢290$27447%58
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?95¢13.7k$13.0k47%58Whale
BUY YesWill Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?89¢20$1847%58
BUY YesWill Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 44% and 47% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?89¢200$17847%58
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?92¢10$9.2047%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 45% and 48% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?90¢120$10847%58
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?90¢6,052$5,44747%58
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?87¢909$79147%58
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?88¢3,346$2,94447%58
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?88¢7,614$6,70147%58
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?88¢1,054$92847%58
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?89.9¢14.1k$12.7k47%58Whale
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?85¢15.0k$12.8k47%58Whale
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?79.7¢12.0k$9,59247%58
BUY YesWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?77.9¢5,845$4,55547%58
BUY NoWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?70¢2,488$1,74247%58
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?69.9¢1,426$99647%58