sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,851

roublewang

0x88f…e7fb
WhalePnL 10k+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.9kvol $370k
PnL 30d+$14.8kgains $12.0k · losses $2,120
PnL 7d+$2,441win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 54.2% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$113kcash n/a
Positions3 / 7open / all-time
Max drawdown−7.4%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 2h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.0kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable28
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 3

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes127k85.9¢89.1¢$113k+$3,973$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes48578¢92¢$446+$68$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No10595¢97.1¢$102+$2.16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?89¢20.1k$17.9k75%32Whale
SELL NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?90¢32.4k$29.1k75%32Whale
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86.8¢32.0k$27.8k75%32Whale
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86.4¢1,502$1,29875%32
SELL NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?90¢32.4k$29.1k75%32Whale
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.6¢4,646$3,88475%32
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.8¢10.0k$8,48075%32
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.6¢1,813$1,53375%32
BUY YesWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?97.9¢133$13075%32
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?81.9¢1,000$81975%32
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82.9¢17$1475%32
BUY YesWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?78¢249$19475%32
BUY YesWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?95¢3,200$3,04075%32
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?94¢8,121$7,63475%32
BUY NoWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?92.4¢56.6k$52.4k75%32Whale
SELL YesWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?99.8¢31.3k$31.2k75%32Whale
BUY YesWill the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?99.5¢839$83475%32
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢112k$99.3k75%32Whale
BUY NoXi Jinping out before 2027?95¢105$10075%32