sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,646

tomorrownow

0x88f…900e
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$733vol $1.17M
PnL 30d−$1,209gains $48 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$549win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate75.2%adj 71.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$52.1kcash n/a
Positions63 / 180open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 21d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,035below peak −$2,389Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 75.2% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d28
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $80kclosed+$1,722Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Noopen+$803Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$775Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$604Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$423

Worst markets

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Noopen−$2,043Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yesopen−$1,027Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yesclosed−$483Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yesclosed−$400Fed rate hike in 2026? · Noopen−$396

Open positions · 63

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No13.8k93¢98.5¢$13.5k+$749+$53
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3,81073.1¢67.5¢$2,572−$214$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,85081.3¢82.5¢$2,351+$34+$110
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No2,05675.4¢95.5¢$1,963+$412$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No6,60259.3¢28.4¢$1,875−$2,043$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,80072.3¢95.9¢$1,725+$423$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,70056¢91.5¢$1,556+$604$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,55884.3¢98.5¢$1,533+$220$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No1,60081¢94.5¢$1,512+$216$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No1,50092.5¢97¢$1,454+$67$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,50084.7¢96.8¢$1,451+$180$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,40093.5¢99.4¢$1,391+$82$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,45340.1¢93.5¢$1,358+$775$0
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No1,31383.3¢97.4¢$1,278+$184$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,29193.5¢97.2¢$1,254+$46$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00088¢99.2¢$992+$112$0
Iran Nuke before 2027?No94188.2¢96.7¢$909+$79$0
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No1,00090¢89.5¢$895−$5.00$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No90093¢95.5¢$859+$22$0
New pandemic in 2026?No73787.4¢95¢$700+$56$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No73840¢92.2¢$680+$385$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No65091.4¢96.4¢$626+$32$0
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?No60093¢97.6¢$586+$28$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No60078.3¢96.6¢$579+$109$0
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No50088.6¢98.1¢$490+$47$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,00038.9¢48.4¢$485+$96$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No50081¢93¢$465+$60$0
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?No41696.1¢95.3¢$397−$3.37$0
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?No40090¢98.6¢$394+$34$0
Ebola pandemic in 2026?No40091¢98¢$392+$28$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No40089.8¢97.6¢$390+$31$0
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No40087.5¢97.3¢$389+$39$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No40083¢94.5¢$378+$46$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No40092¢93.5¢$374+$6.00$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No32692.1¢93.7¢$305+$5.19$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No32093.8¢95¢$304+$3.78$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No30075¢97.8¢$293+$68$0
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?No30086¢94¢$282+$24$0
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No30081¢90.5¢$271+$28$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes30087¢90.5¢$271+$10$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No30078¢89.5¢$269+$35$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No32692¢82.3¢$268−$32$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No30089.6¢87¢$261−$7.95$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes4,26429.1¢5.1¢$215−$1,027$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,00019.6¢19.7¢$197+$0.50$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No20086¢97.5¢$195+$23$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No20091.2¢97.2¢$194+$12$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes20073¢85.5¢$171+$25$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,60016.8¢9¢$145−$124$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No20055¢60.5¢$121+$11$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No11587¢99.3¢$114+$14$0
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No10087¢97.2¢$97+$10$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes65661¢14.5¢$95−$305$0
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No8084¢95.3¢$76+$9.00$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes8388¢72¢$60−$13$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes2,0009¢2.8¢$55−$125$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes40040¢11.5¢$46−$114$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Yes22879¢3.9¢$8.91−$172$0
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,0001¢0.2¢$1.50−$8.50$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?No90044¢0¢$0−$396$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes60062¢0¢$0−$372$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes59010.3¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes20054¢0¢$0−$108$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?59.4¢1,515$90075%45
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?59.4¢1,010$60075%45
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?56.8¢2,113$1,20075%45
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?47.1¢5$2.3675%45
BUY NoWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?54¢1,111$60075%45
BUY NoTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?93.8¢320$30075%45
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?8.4¢1,196$10075%45
BUY NoWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?93.1¢11$1075%45
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?93¢200$18675%45
BUY NoTrump out as President before 2027?95¢300$28575%45
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?88¢18$1675%45
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?79¢228$18075%45
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?73¢200$14675%45
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?95¢400$38075%45
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?60¢400$24075%45
BUY YesWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?88¢65$5775%45
BUY NoWill Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?98¢26$2575%45
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢400$33675%45
BUY NoWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?96.1¢416$40075%45
BUY YesClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?30¢300$9075%45