sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

rocky42025

0x892…733e
1y+WeatherSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$307vol $7.64M
PnL 30d−$6,075gains $8,451 · losses $6,548
PnL 7d−$3,966win rate 7d 66.0%
Win rate51.7%adj 51.7% · 30d 51.9%
Open value$8,585cash n/a
Positions287 / 6,015open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 15h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$308below peak −$7,035Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale36
Adjusted win rateraw 51.7% · shrunk toward 50%29
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?No98018.7¢100¢$980+$797+$146
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 5?No37757.2¢100¢$377+$161−$7.03
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No32791.1¢95.5¢$312+$14+$2.26
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?No37755.6¢80.5¢$304+$94+$15
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?Yes29997.9¢100¢$299+$6.36+$24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No31379.7¢85.3¢$267+$17−$85
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No46354.1¢51.6¢$239−$12+$25
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No1,19025.9¢19.5¢$232−$76−$26
Will Real Betis Seville win on 2026-10-01?No26226.9¢82¢$215+$145+$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?Yes20199¢100¢$201+$2.01+$30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 1?No18847.3¢100¢$188+$99+$0.10
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?No99415¢18.5¢$184+$35$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?Yes17221.3¢100¢$172+$135+$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 9?No16859.3¢100¢$168+$68+$4.20
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?Yes16245¢100¢$162+$89+$2.74
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?No15896.1¢97.1¢$153+$1.58$0
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19?No66731.5¢20¢$133−$77$0
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election?No32739¢40¢$131+$3.27$0
Will Ferro Carril Oeste vs. Deportivo Madryn end in a draw?No12765.1¢100¢$127+$45+$2.45
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?No12096.9¢100¢$120+$3.77+$1.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 3?No11294¢100¢$112+$6.70$0
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung LionsLG Twins11235.8¢100¢$112+$72+$21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 30?No11080.6¢100¢$110+$21+$12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on October 10?No9576.8¢100¢$95+$22+$7.42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No34526.1¢25.5¢$88−$2.06−$139
Will Valérie Hamel win the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election?No8789¢100¢$87+$9.57+$1.48
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere8625¢100¢$86+$64+$5.81
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 7?No8594.4¢100¢$85+$4.78$0
Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsYawara Esports16346.7¢50¢$82+$5.41$0
Will Deportivo Madryn win on 2026-10-03?Yes8015¢100¢$80+$68$0
Kosovo vs. Austria: Both Teams to ScoreYes8034¢100¢$80+$53$0
Will Algeria win on 2026-10-06?Yes8080¢100¢$80+$16$0
Valorant: Global Esports vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 WinnerGlobal Esports7975.6¢100¢$79+$19−$3.43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 10?No7949.3¢100¢$79+$40−$0.02
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026?No8094.1¢97.7¢$78+$2.88$0
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No16361.5¢46.7¢$76−$24+$11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 1?No7152.8¢100¢$71+$34+$1.80
T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Kuwait vs MongoliaKuwait6994.4¢100¢$69+$3.85+$0.17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes30021.7¢22.5¢$67+$2.31−$17
India vs. Uruguay: India O/U 0.5Over6428¢100¢$64+$46$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on October 10?Yes5423.3¢100¢$54+$41+$15
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?Yes7764¢69¢$53+$3.88$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat?Yes5294¢97.8¢$51+$1.95+$1.92
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 1?Yes5127.7¢100¢$51+$37+$19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 10?No5069.3¢100¢$50+$15−$0.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 30?No5012.3¢100¢$50+$44−$10
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes29916.8¢16.5¢$49−$0.92−$8.20
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 3?No4647¢100¢$46+$24+$15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 30?No4574.7¢100¢$45+$11+$7.75
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 8?No4413.2¢100¢$44+$39$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 8?No4474.6¢100¢$44+$11−$4.65
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No44414.4¢9.8¢$44−$21−$18
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?Yes4223¢100¢$42+$32+$103
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 7?No4264.6¢100¢$42+$15+$1.49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on October 3?No4082¢100¢$40+$7.28+$4.21
Will Ferro Carril Oeste win on 2026-10-03?No4046¢100¢$40+$22+$4.31
Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 PlayoffsLow Cortisol8050¢50¢$40$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 6?No4076¢100¢$40+$9.60$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 11?No4086¢100¢$40+$5.58$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 30?No4067¢100¢$40+$13−$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?No3860.5¢100¢$38+$15$0
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026?Yes3698.7¢100¢$36+$0.47$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 5?No3541.7¢100¢$35+$21+$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?No3559¢100¢$35+$14+$0.19
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10?No3470¢100¢$34+$10+$24
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?No3461.4¢100¢$34+$13−$1.71
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 7?Yes3281.5¢100¢$32+$5.93+$3.79
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?No3256.7¢100¢$32+$14+$26
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,2492¢2.4¢$29+$4.68+$17
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?Yes12117¢23¢$28+$7.25$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 3, 2026 be under 5.3?No2722¢100¢$27+$21$0
BNB Up or Down - October 3, 1PM ETUp2795.4¢100¢$27+$1.23+$0.90
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Yes28320.9¢9.5¢$27−$32−$12
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,2512.6¢2.1¢$26−$6.88+$35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?No2451.4¢100¢$24+$12+$1.11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?No2464.3¢100¢$24+$8.69+$11
Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?No9350.7¢25.5¢$24−$23−$3.22
Will Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes4131.5¢54.5¢$22+$9.41$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 1?No2241.3¢100¢$22+$13$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30?No2243¢100¢$22+$12−$11
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes28916.2¢7.5¢$22−$25$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?Yes2183.1¢100¢$21+$3.64$0
Clavicular charges dropped by October 31?Yes30055.4¢7.1¢$21−$145$0
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on October 10?No2186.7¢100¢$21+$2.79−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?No2072¢100¢$20+$5.60$0
Will Team Liquid win BLAST Slam VIII?No2086¢100¢$20+$2.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 30?No1951.9¢100¢$19+$9.11+$3.74
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 30?No1981.8¢100¢$19+$3.42+$2.53
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 4?No1860¢100¢$18+$7.20+$5.94
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 7?No1888¢100¢$18+$2.16+$0.84
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 30?Yes1654¢100¢$16+$7.31−$7.60
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,2500.9¢1.1¢$14+$2.15+$5.31
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,2501.1¢0.9¢$11−$2.87$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?No1050.9¢100¢$10+$5.08+$5.02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7?No1062¢100¢$10+$3.84$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No995.8¢98.8¢$8.91+$0.27−$0.94
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes30012.1¢2.9¢$8.54−$28+$25
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Yes2027¢39.5¢$7.90+$2.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8?No867¢100¢$7.59+$2.50+$9.29
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?No761.3¢100¢$7.49+$2.90+$9.06

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?45¢67$3052%44
SELL Sportivo TrinidenseSpread: Sportivo Trinidense (-1.5)47¢79$3752%44
SELL Sportivo San LorenzoSpread: Sportivo Trinidense (-1.5)50¢153$7752%44
SELL NoWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?51¢62$3252%44
SELL Nikola BartunkovaChina Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova28¢112$3152%44
SELL LegionCounter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Legion (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 Playoffs5¢13$0.6552%44
SELL NoWill NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?35¢114$4052%44
SELL HANJIN BRIONGame Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)53¢9$4.7752%44
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?44.9¢38$1752%44
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?70¢118$8352%44
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?80¢140$11252%44
SELL NoWill France win on 2026-10-05?34¢108$3752%44
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?95¢171$16252%44
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?94.5¢318$30152%44
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?12.2¢10$1.2252%44
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?10.6¢17$1.8052%44
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?87¢20$1752%44
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?86¢120$10352%44
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?90.8¢58$5352%44
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?95¢25$2452%44