PnL all-time+$185vol $39.4k
PnL 30d+$391gains $2,322 · losses $2,057
PnL 7d−$438win rate 7d 46.2%
Win rate49.1%adj 49.3% · 30d 46.9%
Open value$385cash n/a
Positions5 / 58open / all-time
Max drawdown−81.5%of equity peak
Account age33dlast trade 7h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$310below peak −$1,363Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale32
Adjusted win rateraw 49.1% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity19
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$822Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$817Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · Yesclosed+$121China Open: Linda Noskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova · Ekaterina Alexandrovaclosed+$120Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yesclosed+$82
Worst markets
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yesclosed−$290Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yesclosed−$258China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka · Naomi Osakaclosed−$232US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$202Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings? · Noclosed−$151
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 299 | 83¢ | 87¢ | $260 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1,306 | 6.1¢ | 5.1¢ | $67 | −$13 | −$1.08 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 50 | 68¢ | 78.5¢ | $39 | +$5.22 | $0 | |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 49 | 52¢ | 23¢ | $11 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 189 | 17¢ | 4.5¢ | $8.49 | −$24 | −$1.29 |
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