sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,286

007-Bond

0x894…f4b4
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,658vol $131k
PnL 30d+$396gains $1,297 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$57win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate88.3%adj 81.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$19.9kcash n/a
Positions37 / 133open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.5%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 57m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,054below peak −$140Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 88.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,00083.7¢83.5¢$2,505−$5.00$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No2,60184.6¢94.3¢$2,452+$251$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No1,65091.8¢93.5¢$1,543+$28$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No1,20084.2¢89¢$1,068+$57$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No1,00089.3¢96.7¢$967+$73$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No1,00390.7¢95.5¢$958+$48$0
NATO article 5 before 2027?No1,00090.7¢94.6¢$945+$39$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No1,00070.8¢87.5¢$875+$167$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No1,00055¢85.5¢$855+$305$0
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No88089.3¢92.6¢$814+$29$0
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No81086.5¢95.3¢$772+$71+$3.53
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No80089.4¢94.5¢$756+$41$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No60088.8¢95.5¢$573+$40$0
Iran nuclear test before 2027?No50093.8¢96.6¢$483+$14$0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No50089.3¢95.6¢$478+$31+$6.47
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No50090¢94¢$470+$20$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No40084.5¢91.5¢$366+$28$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No35097.1¢98.7¢$345+$5.50+$4.10
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No30095¢96.7¢$290+$4.82$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No30093¢96.2¢$288+$9.45$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes30084.6¢96¢$288+$34$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No30072.8¢72.5¢$218−$0.80$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No22589.9¢96.7¢$217+$15+$13
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No20689.2¢94¢$194+$9.88+$13
Iran Nuke before 2027?No20094.8¢96.8¢$193+$3.92$0
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No20091.5¢95.5¢$191+$7.90$0
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No14592.5¢96.2¢$140+$5.29+$4.83
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No20036.6¢56.6¢$113+$40$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No10094¢98.2¢$98+$4.15$0
US x China Military clash before 2027?No10095.2¢97.5¢$97+$2.25$0
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No10096.2¢96.6¢$97+$0.35$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No10023¢86.5¢$87+$64$0
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?No5173¢93.5¢$48+$10+$8.17
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No5081¢94.9¢$47+$6.95+$9.51
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No1293.2¢96.5¢$12+$0.40+$2.50
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes10081¢6.5¢$6.50−$75$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo474¢96.4¢$3.71+$0.86$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?88¢1,000$88088%68
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?95.7¢400$38288%68
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢200$17288%68
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?96.7¢315$30488%68
BUY NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?94.3¢501$47388%68
BUY NoUS x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?97.6¢57$5688%68
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?99.5¢300$29988%68
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?92¢50$4688%68
BUY No Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?89¢300$26788%68
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?99.2¢500$49688%68
BUY NoUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?91¢680$61988%68
SELL NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?99.5¢1,000$99588%68
SELL NoUkraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?99.6¢303$30188%68
BUY YesWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?99.7¢300$29988%68
BUY NoNATO article 5 before 2027?92.8¢72$6788%68
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?85¢1,000$85088%68
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?97.8¢500$48988%68
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?95¢500$47588%68
BUY NoWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?93¢45$4288%68
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?36.6¢200$7388%68