sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,138

forever123

0x899…32be
WhaleWR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,273vol $667k
PnL 30d+$1,135gains $2,061 · losses $1,858
PnL 7d−$1,002win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate63.6%adj 60.0% · 30d 71.4%
Open value$128kcash n/a
Positions25 / 82open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.6%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.9kbelow peak −$809Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 63.6% · shrunk toward 50%50
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable64
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 25

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No33.5k93.9¢99.7¢$33.4k+$1,928$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No30.0k89¢95.8¢$28.7k+$2,025$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No28.3k86.7¢97.2¢$27.5k+$2,966−$164
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No13.4k87.9¢85.5¢$11.4k−$318$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No6,55191.6¢99.4¢$6,509+$505$0
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No5,36290.8¢97.2¢$5,209+$338$0
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No5,23978.6¢84¢$4,401+$285$0
NATO article 5 before 2027?No2,10094.9¢94.5¢$1,983−$8.93$0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,84785.5¢95.6¢$1,765+$186$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes4,18032¢33.2¢$1,388+$49$0
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?No99583¢77.5¢$771−$55$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No75091¢95.5¢$716+$33$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No81893.7¢83.7¢$684−$82$0
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No60089¢92.5¢$555+$21$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No59195.5¢93.8¢$555−$9.96$0
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes3,4009¢16.3¢$553+$247$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No50088¢94.5¢$473+$33$0
Will Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?No65186¢71.5¢$466−$95−$75
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?No22583¢93.2¢$210+$23$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes48227¢29.5¢$142+$12$0
Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes1,5765.3¢7¢$110+$26$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No16191.2¢59.7¢$96−$51$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No1050¢80.2¢$8.02+$3.02$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1050¢19.9¢$1.99−$3.02$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?No1,08389.8¢0¢$0−$973$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?19.4¢1,770$34464%49
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?21.1¢40$8.4964%49
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?17.9¢1,447$25964%49
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?34.9¢1,400$48964%49
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?35.3¢1,072$37864%49
BUY YesWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?32¢4,180$1,33964%49
BUY YesWill Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?9¢3,400$30664%49
BUY YesWill Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?5.3¢1,576$8364%49
SELL NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?77.7¢436$33864%49
SELL NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?79.5¢190$15164%49
SELL NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?81.2¢70$5764%49
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?88¢38$3364%49
SELL NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?80.3¢308$24764%49
SELL NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?88.6¢100$8964%49
SELL NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?89.8¢125$11264%49
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?92¢914$84164%49
BUY NoWill Trump pardon Donald Brodie before 2027?80¢928$74264%49
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?91.1¢105$9564%49
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?95.8¢196$18864%49
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?95.4¢387$36964%49