sharpside
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Traders/Rank #14,471

ef3arc

0x89c…4d7d@ef3arc
Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$45.0kvol $20.2M
PnL 30d+$1,890gains $8,710 · losses $2,452
PnL 7d−$678win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate32.3%adj 33.0% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$15.0kcash n/a
Positions19 / 856open / all-time
Max drawdown−61.2%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 9d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$136kbelow peak −$210kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 32.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable98
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d70
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity39

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Noclosed+$77.4kWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Noclosed+$64.0kExact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia? · Yesclosed+$35.1kExact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway? · Yesclosed+$20.9kExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana? · Yesclosed+$20.3k

Worst markets

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Noclosed−$85.9kWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$61.1kWill England vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Noclosed−$27.8kWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$17.0kWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$14.7k

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?No4,41490.2¢95.6¢$4,220+$238$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No4,00076.3¢89.5¢$3,580+$527+$73
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?No1,41188.5¢95¢$1,340+$90+$99
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No1,32644.9¢72.5¢$961+$366+$176
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?No93891.8¢97.7¢$916+$56$0
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?No1,12182.1¢80¢$896−$24$0
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No2,00087¢41.5¢$830−$910$0
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?No75580¢90.8¢$685+$82−$512
Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes12.7k15.8¢3.2¢$401−$1,607$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No50068¢53.6¢$268−$72$0
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?Yes1,07711.3¢21.5¢$232+$110+$318
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No50065¢38.5¢$193−$133$0
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes9,54920¢1.5¢$138−$1,771−$175
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No50057¢22¢$110−$175$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No50149.4¢17.5¢$88−$160$0
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No50032.7¢13¢$65−$98$0
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No7376.5¢71.2¢$52−$3.86$0
Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes9,54920¢0.4¢$38−$1,872−$188
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?Yes23838.3¢4.3¢$10−$81$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,000$89032%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?14¢657$9232%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?15¢975$14632%28
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,250$1,11332%28
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,250$1,11332%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?15¢1,250$18832%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?15¢618$9332%28
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,250$1,11332%28
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,000$89032%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?15¢1,000$15032%28
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢100$8932%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?15¢50$7.5032%28
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,250$1,11332%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?15¢1,249$18732%28
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,450$1,29132%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?15¢1,500$22532%28
BUY NoWill Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?89¢1,000$89032%28
BUY NoWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?15¢1,000$15032%28
SELL YesWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?17.3¢793$13732%28
BUY YesWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4.8¢408$1932%28