PnL all-time+$440vol $12.8k
PnL 30d+$58gains $130 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$13win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate90.0%adj 76.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$511cash n/a
Positions12 / 52open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 5d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$460below peak −$1.31Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale38
Adjusted win rateraw 90.0% · shrunk toward 50%92
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d80
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Noclosed+$120Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Noclosed+$74Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Noclosed+$69Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Noclosed+$51Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Noopen+$50
Worst markets
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yesopen−$28Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? · Yesclosed−$10Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yesclosed−$2.00Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$1.30Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$1.03
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 402 | 92¢ | 98.9¢ | $398 | +$28 | +$23 | |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026? | No | 119 | 84¢ | 94¢ | $112 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | Yes | 48 | 47.3¢ | 3.5¢ | $1.67 | −$21 | −$7.44 |
Recent trades
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