sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,836

tr1000

0x8a8…375c
CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$5,691vol $544k
PnL 30d+$7,710gains $6,648 · losses $3,341
PnL 7d+$2,300win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate38.0%adj 38.5% · 30d 87.9%
Open value$51.7kcash n/a
Positions28 / 6,202open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.9%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,322below peak −$2,309Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 38.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 28

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes11.7k62.8¢84.5¢$9,896+$2,541+$526
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No9,71193.9¢94.5¢$9,177+$54$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No7,66690.7¢90¢$6,899−$56$0
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?No4,13289.3¢88¢$3,636−$54$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No2,80886¢96.4¢$2,705+$289$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No2,25091.7¢91.5¢$2,059−$3.75+$30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes2,14995.4¢94.5¢$2,031−$19$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes1,92497.5¢99.1¢$1,905+$31$0
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?No1,97191.5¢93.5¢$1,843+$40+$51
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No1,92789¢92¢$1,773+$58+$91
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes2,05083.9¢81.5¢$1,671−$49$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No2,13577.2¢76.5¢$1,633−$15+$87
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No1,71277.4¢84.5¢$1,447+$121$0
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No1,60086¢86¢$1,376$0$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No1,50477.3¢78.5¢$1,181+$19+$47
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?Yes1,14297.7¢95.7¢$1,093−$23$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No76660¢73.5¢$563+$103$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No79650.4¢36.5¢$290−$110−$286
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No25083¢85.5¢$214+$6.25$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes20090¢95.3¢$191+$11$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No11088¢95.9¢$105+$8.63−$1,164
Google announces a training pause by October 31?No2990¢94.5¢$27+$1.30$0
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Yes206¢33¢$6.60+$5.40$0
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No9,41735¢0¢$0−$3,293$0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?Yes2,50078¢0¢$0−$1,950$0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes1,20451.7¢0¢$0−$623$0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Yes7984¢0¢$0−$67$0
OpenAI announces a training pause by October 31?No2089¢0¢$0−$18−$0.08

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)79¢180$14238%28
BUY NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)79¢10$7.9038%28
SELL NoNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)80.8¢943$76238%28
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?96¢1,499$1,43938%28
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?96.5¢647$62438%28
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?99.6¢2,071$2,06338%28
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?94¢532$50038%28
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?84¢556$46738%28
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?97.4¢612$59638%28
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?97.5¢300$29338%28
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?97.3¢124$12038%28
BUY YesUS x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?97.7¢1,142$1,11638%28
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?98.4¢1,640$1,61338%28
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?94¢661$62138%28
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?95¢4,599$4,36938%28
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?91¢4,804$4,37038%28
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢818$72038%28
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?76¢92$7038%28
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢1,143$1,00638%28
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?76¢1,188$90338%28