sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,546

0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604

0x8a9…1b92
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+PoliticsSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$125kvol $37.4M
PnL 30d−$11gains $22 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$36win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate58.8%adj 58.5% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,025cash n/a
Positions128 / 1,194open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.2%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$140kbelow peak −$2,012Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

59/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 58.8% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No34269¢90.5¢$310+$74+$14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes1,19924.2¢24.5¢$294+$4.13$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes3,18712.9¢7.5¢$239−$171−$152
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes1,74653.7¢12.8¢$223−$714+$241
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No20054.3¢100¢$200+$91+$11
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No15993.1¢98.1¢$156+$8.02+$0.42
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes2,00015¢7.5¢$150−$150$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes1,09528.7¢8.5¢$93−$221+$116
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes2,00013¢3.3¢$66−$194+$334
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes57515¢10.5¢$60−$26−$39
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes43735.4¢12.5¢$55−$100−$3.29
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes10023.5¢53.3¢$53+$30$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes82950.4¢5.5¢$46−$372+$0.81
US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes16820¢22.5¢$38+$4.19$0
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Yes5766.7¢2.8¢$16−$23−$29
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes16818¢7.5¢$13−$18$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No22141¢4.1¢$8.95−$82−$6.52
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes976.4¢3.3¢$3.15−$3.09+$4.95
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1,0340.7¢0.1¢$1.03−$6.20$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1009¢0.7¢$0.70−$8.30$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes559¢10.5¢$0.53−$2.42$0
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?Yes4,0000.2¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes4,0000.5¢0¢$0−$21−$1,051
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No3,99817.2¢0¢$0−$686−$2,197
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No3,9950.3¢0¢$0−$12−$717
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes3,9920.8¢0¢$0−$30−$661
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes3,99218.1¢0¢$0−$724+$59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?Yes3,9911.3¢0¢$0−$53−$2.11
Trump out as President by May 31?Yes3,9070.6¢0¢$0−$22−$7.50
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes3,8310.3¢0¢$0−$11−$197
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?Yes3,7629.8¢0¢$0−$369−$35
JD Vance out as VP by June 30?Yes3,5811.5¢0¢$0−$54$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?No3,0269.3¢0¢$0−$281+$599
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes3,0000.3¢0¢$0−$9.00−$189
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No2,9950.6¢0¢$0−$18+$1,293
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Yes2,9082.9¢0¢$0−$84+$553
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?Yes2,6551.6¢0¢$0−$42+$22
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?No2,5012.2¢0¢$0−$56−$67
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No2,4930.4¢0¢$0−$8.74−$296
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?Yes2,2413.8¢0¢$0−$85+$96
Netanyahu out by May 31?Yes2,1471¢0¢$0−$21−$8.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?Yes2,0000.2¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.20
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?No2,0006¢0¢$0−$120−$964
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?Yes2,0000.5¢0¢$0−$10.00−$12
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes2,0001¢0¢$0−$20−$203
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?Yes2,0000.3¢0¢$0−$6.00−$156
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes1,9976.8¢0¢$0−$136+$1.41
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?Yes1,9973.5¢0¢$0−$69−$1.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes1,9960.9¢0¢$0−$18+$212
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?Yes1,9951.4¢0¢$0−$27−$1.33
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?Yes1,99418¢0¢$0−$359−$8.83
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?Yes1,9930.8¢0¢$0−$16+$0.85
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes1,9922.1¢0¢$0−$42−$70
Norway leading at halftime?No1,9901¢0¢$0−$20−$666
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 16?No1,98136¢0¢$0−$713−$34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes1,9690.9¢0¢$0−$17+$697
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes1,9560.7¢0¢$0−$13+$197
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes1,9331¢0¢$0−$19−$107
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes1,8980.9¢0¢$0−$17−$0.51
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No1,8960.3¢0¢$0−$5.70−$313
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?No1,78552.6¢0¢$0−$940−$13
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No1,7610.2¢0¢$0−$3.52−$958
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye?No1,59652.9¢0¢$0−$844−$224
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?Yes1,46321.5¢0¢$0−$315−$0.99
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes1,4131.3¢0¢$0−$19+$101
Exact Score: IR Iran 2 - 2 New Zealand?No1,33159.7¢0¢$0−$795−$265
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?No1,2735¢0¢$0−$64+$12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No1,20526¢0¢$0−$313−$879
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?Yes1,1051.4¢0¢$0−$15$0
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No1,07136.7¢0¢$0−$393−$393
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?No1,06024¢0¢$0−$255−$69
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No1,05349.9¢0¢$0−$526−$0.23
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes1,0100.4¢0¢$0−$3.56+$92
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes1,0001.1¢0¢$0−$11−$121
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?No9900.7¢0¢$0−$7.11−$42
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No93136¢0¢$0−$335+$2.68
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes81812.5¢0¢$0−$102+$229
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No7843.8¢0¢$0−$30+$895
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?Yes7471.3¢0¢$0−$9.93+$589
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?No6505¢0¢$0−$33−$53
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?No60416.3¢0¢$0−$98−$220
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes6001.3¢0¢$0−$7.80−$982
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?Yes55610¢0¢$0−$56−$1.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12?No53963.8¢0¢$0−$344−$279
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes4819.5¢0¢$0−$46−$27
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland?Yes42622¢0¢$0−$94−$2.19
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?No40311¢0¢$0−$44−$129
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?No3995.7¢0¢$0−$23−$1.43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?No39561.7¢0¢$0−$244−$1.99
Canada to score first vs. Qatar?No36926¢0¢$0−$96−$51
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?Yes35113¢0¢$0−$46−$4.76
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No34310.3¢0¢$0−$35−$448
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes3403.1¢0¢$0−$10−$19
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes3051¢0¢$0−$3.05−$1,079
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes2841.6¢0¢$0−$4.54−$3.12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?Yes24187.3¢0¢$0−$210−$1.29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8?Yes2370.3¢0¢$0−$0.71−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?Yes2321¢0¢$0−$2.40−$0.12
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?Yes2113.7¢0¢$0−$7.79−$0.30
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes2016.2¢0¢$0−$13+$91

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?84¢100$8459%59
SELL NoWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?81¢1$0.5559%59
SELL YesWill Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?4¢19$0.7559%59
SELL YesWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?98.9¢5$4.9559%59
SELL YesWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?99.6¢31$3159%59
SELL YesWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?99.6¢42$4259%59
SELL YesWill France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?96.6¢500$48359%59
SELL NoWill Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?98.7¢328$32459%59
SELL NoWill Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?90¢1$0.5159%59
SELL NoWill Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?91¢5$4.9059%59
SELL YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?12¢153$1859%59
SELL NoWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?50¢100$5059%59
SELL YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?37¢80$2959%59
SELL YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?37¢5$1.8559%59
SELL YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?37¢286$10659%59
SELL YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?37¢10$3.7059%59
SELL YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?37¢445$16559%59
SELL YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?36¢10$3.6059%59
SELL YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?37¢55$2059%59
SELL YesMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?38¢10$3.8059%59