sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

RandyEvans9934

0x8b0…a23b
WR 60+PoliticsSportCryptoCultureOtherWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$57vol $103k
PnL 30d−$17gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.02win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.1%adj 60.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$820cash n/a
Positions45 / 336open / all-time
Max drawdown−38.8%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$493below peak −$25Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.1% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity61

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?No84626¢90.5¢$766+$546$0
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No3872.2¢100¢$38+$11−$0.99
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No445¢100¢$4.00+$2.20−$12
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?No449¢89¢$3.56+$1.60−$9.12
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No365¢95.7¢$2.87+$0.92−$0.09
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No340.3¢94¢$2.82+$1.61−$1.89
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes268¢58.5¢$1.18−$0.19−$1.48
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No176¢100¢$1.00+$0.24−$2.28
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No162¢85.5¢$0.85+$0.23+$0.89
Stripe IPO before 2027?Yes143¢3.1¢$0.03−$0.40−$0.18
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes76235.9¢0¢$0−$274$0
Will Brandon Steven be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?No29269.8¢0¢$0−$204$0
Vanta IPO in 2025?Yes1002.2¢0¢$0−$2.20$0
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down9645¢0¢$0−$43−$19
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?Yes931.1¢0¢$0−$1.02$0
Hayden Davis in jail in 2025?Yes851.2¢0¢$0−$1.02$0
Will 01A1 have a #1 AI model this year?Yes781.3¢0¢$0−$1.01$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?Yes779¢0¢$0−$6.93$0
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes731.9¢0¢$0−$1.39$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No7073.4¢0¢$0−$51$0
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?No6484¢0¢$0−$54$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes613¢0¢$0−$1.83$0
Will Awawat win the Orderly trading competition?Yes599¢0¢$0−$5.31$0
IDF Chief Eyal  Zamir out by December 31, 2025?Yes582.7¢0¢$0−$1.57$0
Iran nuclear test in 2025?Yes501.1¢0¢$0−$0.55$0
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?Yes4821.8¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?No4487.7¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Trump say "King" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No4149¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes3010¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes2628¢0¢$0−$7.34$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Yes212.2¢0¢$0−$0.47−$0.05
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No2140¢0¢$0−$8.40−$0.22
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?No2043.1¢0¢$0−$8.74−$4.24
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No111.4¢0¢$0−$0.15−$0.58
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?-fkEWYes1018¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes933¢0¢$0−$2.97$0
Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?Yes81.3¢0¢$0−$0.10−$0.07
Will Trump say "Anniversary" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?Yes831¢0¢$0−$2.48+$12
Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo653¢0¢$0−$3.18$0
Will ENA: Dream BBQ win Outstanding Visual Style at the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes431¢0¢$0−$1.24−$5.72
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No375.6¢0¢$0−$2.27−$49
Will Chris Shula be the next Giants Head Coach?Yes215¢0¢$0−$0.30−$1.20
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?Yes119¢0¢$0−$0.19+$4.65
Will Fomo launch a token by March 31 2026?Yes117¢0¢$0−$0.17−$0.36
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No177¢0¢$0−$0.77−$1.92

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?68¢17$1261%38
SELL NoElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?22¢20$4.4061%38
SELL NoElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?22¢20$4.4061%38
SELL NoElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?29¢15$4.3561%38
SELL NoWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?17¢187$3261%38
SELL NoWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?35¢313$11061%38
SELL NoWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?35¢6$2.1061%38
BUY NoWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?34¢506$17261%38
SELL NoWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?13¢15$1.9561%38
SELL NoIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?77¢147$11361%38
SELL NoIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?77¢177$13661%38
SELL NoIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?77¢336$25961%38
BUY NoIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?78¢660$51561%38
SELL NoClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?46¢50$2361%38
SELL NoClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?46¢164$7561%38
SELL NoClaudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?46¢235$10861%38
BUY NoWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?14¢15$2.1061%38
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?77¢50$3961%38
BUY NoWill Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?89¢291$25961%38
SELL NoWill the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?45¢25$1161%38