PnL all-time+$703vol $243k
PnL 30d+$168gains $307 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$168win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 91.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$38.5kcash n/a
Positions8 / 100open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.2%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$461below peak −$172Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Noclosed+$221Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? · Noclosed+$76Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025? · Noclosed+$30Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? · Noclosed+$26Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? · Noclosed+$25
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 8,852 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $8,839 | +$4.44 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 7,059 | 95.7¢ | 95.9¢ | $6,766 | +$8.73 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 6,869 | 99.8¢ | 97.8¢ | $6,714 | −$139 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 6,158 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $6,149 | +$3.08 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 99.8¢ | 99.7¢ | $4,983 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 5,000 | 99.9¢ | 99.1¢ | $4,953 | −$42 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 266 | 21¢ | 26.5¢ | $71 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | No | 45 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $45 | +$0.02 | $0 |
Recent trades
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