PnL all-time−$5.91vol $1,297
PnL 30d−$6.84gains $51 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$4.19win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 75.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$486cash n/a
Positions33 / 53open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.1%of equity peak
Account age10dlast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$7.21below peak −$8.30Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? · Yesclosed+$8.35Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on October 7? · Yesclosed+$3.13Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on October 11? · Yesclosed+$2.99Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7? · Yesclosed+$2.94Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 6? · Yesclosed+$2.79
Worst markets
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Noopen−$3.80Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 12? · Noopen−$3.36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 7? · Noopen−$3.16Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 10? · Noopen−$2.91Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 10? · Yesopen−$2.76
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | No | 500 | 98¢ | 97.2¢ | $486 | −$3.80 | $0 |
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