sharpside
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Traders/Rank #113

Joe-Biden

0x8b5…00f2
PnL 1M+PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1.51Mvol $35.3M
PnL 30d−$17.6kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$2,851win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.0%adj 52.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$61.6kcash n/a
Positions113 / 395open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.7%of equity peak
Account age5.2ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1.51Mbelow peak −$325kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale88
Adjusted win rateraw 53.0% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity74

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes960k5¢3.3¢$31.7k−$16.0k$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo50.0k37¢37.5¢$18.7k+$251$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes32.0k15¢14.5¢$4,643−$160$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes100k9.9¢3.3¢$3,300−$6,650$0
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes93.8k2.3¢2¢$1,830−$326$0
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes167k0.6¢0.5¢$919−$83$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes3,16827¢8¢$253−$602$0
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes21.1k0.4¢1¢$201+$116$0
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes9552.3¢2.4¢$22+$0.48$0
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes3850.2¢1.3¢$4.82+$4.05$0
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes1,6303.8¢0.1¢$0.81−$61$0
Will Trump resign today?Yes1.60M0.5¢0¢$0−$7,718$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1.51M8.5¢0¢$0−$128k+$162k
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes709k2.5¢0¢$0−$17.9k−$376
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes639k6.1¢0¢$0−$38.9k$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes598k0.4¢0¢$0−$2,392$0
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?Yes576k27.4¢0¢$0−$158k$0
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceParaguay500k7.6¢0¢$0−$37.9k−$662
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceAlgeria489k33.2¢0¢$0−$162k−$723
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceEcuador400k37¢0¢$0−$148k$0
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?Yes394k3¢0¢$0−$11.8k+$1.05
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes313k38.7¢0¢$0−$121k−$1,521
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway300k21¢0¢$0−$63.0k$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?No250k45¢0¢$0−$112k$0
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceCanada250k27¢0¢$0−$67.5k$0
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?No249k18.2¢0¢$0−$45.4k$0
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes221k15¢0¢$0−$33.2k$0
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?Yes200k26.5¢0¢$0−$53.0k−$1,169
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes200k27¢0¢$0−$54.0k$0
Will England win on 2026-06-27?No200k14¢0¢$0−$28.0k$0
Will England win on 2026-07-01?No200k23¢0¢$0−$46.0k$0
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Yes150k41¢0¢$0−$61.5k$0
France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceMorocco150k22.5¢0¢$0−$33.7k$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?No150k31.5¢0¢$0−$47.2k$0
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?Yes147k16¢0¢$0−$23.6k−$588
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?No140k53¢0¢$0−$74.2k$0
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No120k67¢0¢$0−$80.4k$0
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes110k15.2¢0¢$0−$16.7k$0
Chargers vs. RaidersRaiders108k37¢0¢$0−$40.0k$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No103k37.3¢0¢$0−$38.5k$0
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?Yes100k20¢0¢$0−$20.0k$0
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?Yes100k20¢0¢$0−$20.0k−$480
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17?Yes100.0k14¢0¢$0−$14.0k$0
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?No100.0k26¢0¢$0−$26.0k$0
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Yes100.0k9¢0¢$0−$9,000$0
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?Yes100.0k15¢0¢$0−$15.0k$0
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?Yes96.4k11¢0¢$0−$10.6k$0
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes85.0k69¢0¢$0−$58.6k$0
Will France win on 2025-11-13?No85.0k17¢0¢$0−$14.4k$0
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No81.6k21.6¢0¢$0−$17.6k$0
Fed rate cut in 2025?No80.2k24.1¢0¢$0−$19.4k$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?No80.0k57¢0¢$0−$45.6k$0
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?No76.5k36¢0¢$0−$27.6k$0
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?No75.0k66¢0¢$0−$49.5k−$505
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?No75.0k35¢0¢$0−$26.3k$0
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States75.0k54¢0¢$0−$40.5k−$559
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?Yes72.4k58¢0¢$0−$42.0k$0
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Switzerland?Yes70.3k10¢0¢$0−$7,031$0
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceCroatia68.0k26.9¢0¢$0−$18.3k−$2.84
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?No64.8k8.4¢0¢$0−$5,428$0
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal63.2k59¢0¢$0−$37.3k−$356
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes62.0k78¢0¢$0−$48.4k$0
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes60.1k46¢0¢$0−$27.6k$0
Will England win on 2026-06-17?No60.0k41.5¢0¢$0−$24.9k$0
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?Yes60.0k83¢0¢$0−$49.8k−$254
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceColombia55.0k54.5¢0¢$0−$30.0k−$37
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?No55.0k39¢0¢$0−$21.4k−$393
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-05?Yes52.0k10¢0¢$0−$5,198$0
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?No50.0k53¢0¢$0−$26.5k$0
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?Yes50.0k13¢0¢$0−$6,500$0
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No40.0k21¢0¢$0−$8,400$0
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No36.9k41.4¢0¢$0−$15.3k$0
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?Yes35.5k2.2¢0¢$0−$778−$8.55
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes30.0k84¢0¢$0−$25.2k$0
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?Yes30.0k36¢0¢$0−$10.8k$0
OpenAI browser by October 31?No30.0k40¢0¢$0−$12.0k$0
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?No28.5k43¢0¢$0−$12.3k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No26.9k35.3¢0¢$0−$9,504$0
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes24.0k20.1¢0¢$0−$4,841$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes23.6k44¢0¢$0−$10.4k$0
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?Yes22.1k3.9¢0¢$0−$861$0
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes21.3k2.4¢0¢$0−$511$0
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?No20.0k42¢0¢$0−$8,400$0
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?Yes19.5k62¢0¢$0−$12.1k$0
Will Athletic Club vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?Yes17.7k17¢0¢$0−$3,007$0
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?No15.2k48¢0¢$0−$7,306$0
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes15.0k53¢0¢$0−$7,950−$112
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?Yes12.0k41¢0¢$0−$4,920$0
Will France win on 2026-06-22?No10.9k5.9¢0¢$0−$642$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No10,00019¢0¢$0−$1,900$0
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes9,7330.8¢0¢$0−$78$0
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?Yes8,49529.5¢0¢$0−$2,508$0
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?Yes4,07314¢0¢$0−$570$0
America Party wins a federal or gubernatorial election in 2025?Yes3,8687.8¢0¢$0−$302$0
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?No3,75440¢0¢$0−$1,502$0
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?No3,53133¢0¢$0−$1,165$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Yes3,2002¢0¢$0−$63−$2.48
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?No3,04431¢0¢$0−$944$0
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes2,54412¢0¢$0−$305$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?No2,44016¢0¢$0−$390$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?3.3¢11.2k$37153%68
BUY YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?3¢120k$3,66553%68
BUY YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?2.9¢47.4k$1,37453%68
BUY YesPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?2.8¢87$2.4453%68
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House37¢11.0k$4,08053%68
BUY YesWill Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?15¢32.0k$4,80453%68
BUY YesWill Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?0.6¢1,151$6.9153%68
BUY YesWill Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?2.3¢4,200$9753%68
BUY YesWill 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?0.2¢385$0.7753%68
BUY YesWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?2¢3,200$6353%68
BUY Gregory RodriguesUFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)34¢40.0k$13.6k53%68Whale
BUY ColombiaSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance55¢5,036$2,77053%68
BUY YesExact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?34¢25.1k$8,51953%68
BUY YesExact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?33.5¢45.2k$15.1k53%68Whale
BUY NoWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?66¢75.0k$49.5k53%68Whale
BUY United StatesUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance54¢75.0k$40.5k53%68Whale
BUY ParaguayParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance8¢300k$24.0k53%68Whale
BUY AlgeriaSwitzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance33.3¢109k$36.1k53%68Whale
BUY CroatiaPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance26.3¢489$12853%68
BUY SenegalBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance59¢49.1k$29.0k53%68Whale