sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,832

Minty-Vane

0x8b7…8044
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$55.3kvol $4.94M
PnL 30d+$1,776gains $161 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$86win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.4%adj 75.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$205kcash n/a
Positions127 / 221open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$59.6kbelow peak −$1,538Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 80.4% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Trump out as President before 2027?No66.4k85.3¢96¢$63.7k+$7,099−$234
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No32.3k79.9¢94.5¢$30.6k+$4,723$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No26.7k90.1¢96.7¢$25.8k+$1,758$0
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No20.6k94.1¢97¢$20.0k+$591$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No17.1k88.3¢93.5¢$16.0k+$885$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No11.5k90.9¢96.3¢$11.1k+$620$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No7,02277¢95¢$6,671+$1,264$0
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No5,40094.6¢96.4¢$5,203+$97$0
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No4,91681¢95.4¢$4,688+$708$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No4,72493.2¢98.2¢$4,639+$236$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes5,90944¢63.5¢$3,752+$1,152$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes12.4k33.7¢27.5¢$3,407−$767−$483
Will Trump resign before 2027?No2,36793.2¢97.5¢$2,308+$103$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes37.1k39¢4.5¢$1,670−$12.8k−$2,798
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No1,50093¢97.7¢$1,465+$70$0
Will Alberta join the US? No1,42395.5¢98.9¢$1,406+$48$0
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No1,16492.6¢94.7¢$1,102+$24$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes5,70157.7¢15.5¢$884−$2,406−$4,264
Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No91670.5¢92.5¢$847+$201$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes3,59626.2¢3.1¢$110−$831−$164
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes84.6k8.5¢0¢$0−$7,212+$275
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes71.3k8.5¢0¢$0−$6,051$0
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes45.0k20.9¢0¢$0−$9,389−$2,364
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes41.4k3.5¢0¢$0−$1,467$0
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No38.0k0.7¢0¢$0−$253−$10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes37.0k4.8¢0¢$0−$1,766+$2,272
Cavaliers vs. KnicksCavaliers30.0k30¢0¢$0−$9,000−$189
Pacers vs. PistonsPacers27.8k18¢0¢$0−$5,000$0
Clippers vs. 76ersClippers27.8k36¢0¢$0−$10,000$0
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes26.0k49.9¢0¢$0−$13.0k$0
Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesMavericks25.3k13¢0¢$0−$3,290$0
Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics25.0k54¢0¢$0−$13.5k$0
Warriors vs. HeatWarriors25.0k23¢0¢$0−$5,750$0
Nets vs. RaptorsNets25.0k16¢0¢$0−$4,000$0
Jazz vs. LakersJazz25.0k16¢0¢$0−$4,000$0
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes25.0k1.6¢0¢$0−$400$0
Wizards vs. CelticsWizards25.0k16.6¢0¢$0−$4,156$0
Spurs vs. GrizzliesSpurs25.0k68¢0¢$0−$17.0k$0
Bucks vs. BullsBulls25.0k56¢0¢$0−$14.0k$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes25.0k23¢0¢$0−$5,750$0
Hornets vs. SunsHornets25.0k63¢0¢$0−$15.7k$0
Bucks vs. PacersPacers24.0k34¢0¢$0−$8,159$0
Grizzlies vs. SpursGrizzlies24.0k32¢0¢$0−$7,680$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes22.7k26¢0¢$0−$5,914−$4,416
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes22.1k0.5¢0¢$0−$104$0
Spurs vs. LakersSpurs22.0k51¢0¢$0−$11.2k$0
Hornets vs. BucksHornets21.8k24¢0¢$0−$5,223$0
Pacers vs. WarriorsPacers21.0k17¢0¢$0−$3,570$0
Pacers vs. NuggetsPacers20.8k20.2¢0¢$0−$4,193$0
Kings vs. Trail BlazersKings20.0k26¢0¢$0−$5,200$0
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes20.0k12¢0¢$0−$2,400$0
Thunder vs. RocketsRockets20.0k37¢0¢$0−$7,400$0
Suns vs. WarriorsSuns20.0k20.5¢0¢$0−$4,108$0
Lakers vs. PelicansPelicans20.0k21¢0¢$0−$4,200$0
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k1.9¢0¢$0−$380$0
Bucks vs. RaptorsBucks20.0k38¢0¢$0−$7,595$0
Will Trump visit China by June 30?No19.9k0.5¢0¢$0−$100−$3.97
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes19.7k10.7¢0¢$0−$2,099$0
Hornets vs. HeatHornets19.4k35.1¢0¢$0−$6,808$0
Mavericks vs. JazzMavericks19.2k55¢0¢$0−$10.5k$0
Rockets vs. CavaliersCavaliers19.0k48¢0¢$0−$9,120$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes18.5k10.1¢0¢$0−$1,876$0
Raptors vs. 76ersRaptors18.0k37¢0¢$0−$6,652$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes17.9k7¢0¢$0−$1,252$0
Thunder vs. ClippersClippers17.0k28.7¢0¢$0−$4,889$0
Bucks vs. HornetsHornets17.0k41.9¢0¢$0−$7,120$0
Kings vs. NuggetsKings16.5k17.8¢0¢$0−$2,943$0
Spurs vs. BullsBulls15.5k39¢0¢$0−$6,045$0
Bucks vs. GrizzliesBucks15.4k38¢0¢$0−$5,847$0
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes15.0k9.4¢0¢$0−$1,410$0
Wizards vs. BullsWizards15.0k16¢0¢$0−$2,400$0
Kings vs. LakersKings15.0k19¢0¢$0−$2,850$0
Thunder vs. BullsBulls15.0k22¢0¢$0−$3,300$0
Heat vs. ClippersClippers15.0k75¢0¢$0−$11.3k$0
Celtics vs. PacersPacers15.0k26¢0¢$0−$3,900$0
Maduro out in 2025?Yes15.0k16¢0¢$0−$2,400$0
Pacers vs. CavaliersPacers12.4k13¢0¢$0−$1,612$0
Pistons vs. HawksHawks12.0k50.6¢0¢$0−$6,070$0
Bucks vs. JazzBucks12.0k70¢0¢$0−$8,400$0
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes11.9k7¢0¢$0−$833$0
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes11.5k5.7¢0¢$0−$653$0
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes11.4k0.8¢0¢$0−$86$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No11.2k26.3¢0¢$0−$2,940$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes11.0k20.2¢0¢$0−$2,225$0
76ers vs. NetsNets11.0k36.6¢0¢$0−$4,031$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes10.8k10¢0¢$0−$1,080$0
Bulls vs. 76ersBulls10.8k32¢0¢$0−$3,450$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No10.0k61.5¢0¢$0−$6,150$0
Cavaliers vs. KingsKings10.0k15¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Kings vs. ThunderKings10.0k8¢0¢$0−$800$0
Spurs vs. WarriorsWarriors10.0k31¢0¢$0−$3,100$0
Hawks vs. CavaliersHawks10.0k33¢0¢$0−$3,300$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9,28911.1¢0¢$0−$1,031$0
Celtics vs. MagicCeltics8,60043¢0¢$0−$3,698$0
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,57610.2¢0¢$0−$875−$24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8,2528.7¢0¢$0−$718−$20
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Yes8,00012.7¢0¢$0−$1,020$0
Trail Blazers vs. KingsKings8,00040¢0¢$0−$3,200$0
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik SinnerJoao Fonseca8,00010¢0¢$0−$800$0
Spurs vs. ClippersClippers8,00026¢0¢$0−$2,080$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?93¢8,264$7,68680%46
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?94¢5,411$5,08680%46
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?88¢2,300$2,02480%46
SELL YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?26.9¢8,035$2,16180%46
BUY NoAndrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?71¢279$19880%46
BUY NoAndrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?70.3¢637$44880%46
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?92¢6,688$6,15380%46
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?95.9¢313$30180%46
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?95.9¢1,292$1,23980%46
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?95.9¢1,276$1,22480%46
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?95.9¢277$26580%46
BUY NoWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?95.8¢4,060$3,89080%46
SELL YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?24¢1,382$33280%46
BUY NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?90¢15.6k$14.1k80%46Whale
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?88¢3,859$3,39680%46
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?94¢426$40080%46
BUY NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?95¢2,711$2,57680%46
SELL YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?30¢13$3.9080%46
SELL YesWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?29¢10.8k$3,14080%46
BUY NoPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?87¢11.7k$10.2k80%46Whale