sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,126

Bet1nthedark

0x8b8…5f5e
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$14.6kvol $2.14M
PnL 30d+$4,214gains $14.1k · losses $11.3k
PnL 7d−$2,712win rate 7d 66.7%
Win rate84.8%adj 82.2% · 30d 81.0%
Open value$112kcash n/a
Positions21 / 282open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$24.6kbelow peak −$44.4kOct 11

SharpScore inputs

44/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 84.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 21

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No38.7k83.7¢83.5¢$32.3k−$95+$1,945
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo20.0k90.4¢91.5¢$18.3k+$211$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes11.3k89.2¢90.5¢$10.2k+$147$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?No6,89595.4¢97.9¢$6,751+$171$0
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?No6,00087.9¢96.8¢$5,805+$530$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No4,60089.7¢90.5¢$4,163+$37$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No4,39172.9¢81¢$3,557+$357$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes19.3k37¢16.5¢$3,177−$3,949$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No5,10060¢61.5¢$3,137+$77$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes5,10059¢61.5¢$3,137+$128$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes3,17594.5¢95.9¢$3,045+$44$0
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes122k2¢2.5¢$2,988+$608$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No3,00078¢93.5¢$2,805+$465$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes3,40888¢81.5¢$2,777−$222$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes20.8k57.9¢13¢$2,699−$9,318$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes4,00050¢63.5¢$2,540+$540$0
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?No2,30486.9¢94.5¢$2,177+$175$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes5,20058¢41.8¢$2,174−$842$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No72087.5¢96.4¢$695+$64+$244
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No65.9k93.9¢0¢$0−$61.8k$0
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No12.0k12.5¢0¢$0−$1,500$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.4¢761$75685%44
BUY NoWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.2¢2,539$2,51985%44
SELL NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?84¢3,900$3,27685%44
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.3¢42$4285%44
BUY NoPlague pandemic in 2026?95.6¢75$7285%44
BUY NoWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.6¢525$52385%44
BUY YesPlague pandemic in 2026?5.7¢2,100$12085%44
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.5¢10.1k$10.0k85%44
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?99.6¢248$24785%44
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?99.5¢176$17585%44
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?99.6¢964$96085%44
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?99.5¢2,411$2,40085%44
BUY NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 202699.8¢3,006$3,00085%44
BUY NoWill Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?99.7¢3,009$3,00085%44
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?99.5¢2,010$2,00085%44
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?84¢3,571$3,00085%44
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?99.3¢133$13285%44
BUY NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 202699.7¢752$75085%44
SELL NoWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?72¢1,015$73185%44
BUY NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 202699.3¢985$97885%44