sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,882

0x8b8…2512

0x8b8…2512
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WeatherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$51.2kvol $2.82M
PnL 30d−$48.5kgains $1,813 · losses $875
PnL 7d+$16.8kwin rate 7d 44.6%
Win rate44.6%adj 45.6% · 30d 44.6%
Open value$3,164cash n/a
Positions164 / 48,339open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 59s ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$90.8kbelow peak −$436kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 44.6% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes2,86946.1¢80.5¢$2,309+$986+$19
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No31079.9¢81.5¢$252+$5.06+$1,217
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 9?Yes19189¢94.5¢$180+$10−$65
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?No82012.9¢8.5¢$70−$36+$2,799
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?No8362.1¢71¢$59+$7.43+$17
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?No8240.1¢43¢$35+$2.38+$403
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9?No2572.9¢100¢$25+$6.62+$0.78
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No2184.8¢89.4¢$19+$0.98+$3.07
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?No2082.8¢93.1¢$19+$2.06+$7.87
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 9?Yes2238.9¢6¢$13−$6.58+$95
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 9?No2157.5¢57¢$12−$0.10$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No7416.7¢14.2¢$10−$1.77+$8,093
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 9?No1099.9¢99.9¢$9.97−$0.01−$5.60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 9?No1099.9¢99.9¢$9.97−$0.01−$5.60
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 9?No1099¢99.5¢$9.94+$0.04−$5.50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9?No1095¢95.5¢$9.54+$0.05−$5.08
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?Yes6733.3¢12.5¢$8.32−$14+$12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 9?No1070¢73.5¢$7.34+$0.35−$2.24
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 9?No799.3¢100¢$7.32+$0.04−$18
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 9?No1638.9¢45.5¢$7.29+$1.05$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?No2341.8¢25¢$5.75−$3.87$0
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?No689.2¢92.5¢$5.32+$0.19−$3.20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 9?No599.8¢100¢$5.28+$0.01−$2.63
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?No1338.5¢38.5¢$5.10$0+$194
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9?No1051¢49.5¢$4.95−$0.15−$0.25
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No571¢73.5¢$3.53+$0.12+$1,286
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Yes816¢4.4¢$3.51−$1.32$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes5720¢6¢$3.41−$7.96+$884
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,5683.4¢0.1¢$2.78−$189$0
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,5683.4¢0.1¢$2.78−$189$0
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,5683.4¢0.1¢$2.78−$189$0
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,5683.4¢0.1¢$2.78−$189$0
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,5683.4¢0.1¢$2.78−$189$0
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No397.7¢96.8¢$2.76−$0.03−$3.26
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No397.5¢96.7¢$2.75−$0.02−$3.18
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No394.4¢93.5¢$2.66−$0.03−$1.46
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes5,06720¢0.1¢$2.53−$1,011$0
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No386¢84.5¢$2.41−$0.04+$1.98
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No384¢82.5¢$2.35−$0.04+$3.76
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 9?No468.8¢65¢$2.32−$0.14+$4.38
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No381¢80¢$2.28−$0.03+$3.45
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes4,52420¢0.1¢$2.26−$903+$106
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No1031.4¢22.5¢$2.25−$0.89+$140
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 9?Yes2231.3¢1¢$2.12−$0.76+$131
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No365¢66.5¢$1.90+$0.04+$8.55
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes782¢1.5¢$1.13−$0.40$0
Will Faroe Islands win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3?Yes40214.3¢0.3¢$1.01−$56+$20
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No912¢10¢$0.92−$0.18+$2,059
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 9?Yes2520.5¢0.3¢$0.63−$0.63+$111
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?No140.3¢50.5¢$0.57+$0.12+$4.50
Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes1813.1¢0.3¢$0.45−$5.20$0
Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3?No3743¢1.1¢$0.39−$15+$24
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?Yes11810¢0.3¢$0.35−$11$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?Yes11810¢0.3¢$0.35−$11$0
Will Huang Kuo-chang win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes6553.3¢0.1¢$0.33−$22$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes114.3¢32.5¢$0.33+$0.18$0
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?No2050.8¢1.4¢$0.27−$10+$70
Will Kristin Brinker be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes1813.1¢0.2¢$0.27−$5.38$0
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.4¢$0.23−$1.58$0
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.4¢$0.23−$1.58$0
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes469.1¢0.5¢$0.23−$3.95$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 9?Yes120¢17.6¢$0.20−$0.03+$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on October 9?Yes159¢1.3¢$0.19−$1.18+$6.49
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%?Yes8810¢0.2¢$0.18−$8.62$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes114.3¢14¢$0.14$0$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?Yes11810¢0.1¢$0.12−$12$0
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?Yes217.7¢0.5¢$0.12−$1.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on October 9?Yes1879.1¢0.1¢$0.09−$17$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 9?Yes1879.1¢0.1¢$0.09−$17$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C or higher on October 9?Yes1879.1¢0.1¢$0.09−$17$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 9?Yes1879.1¢0.1¢$0.09−$17$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Yes8810¢0.1¢$0.09−$8.71$0
Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.2¢$0.09−$1.73$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.2¢$0.09−$1.73$0
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.2¢$0.09−$1.73$0
Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1692¢0.1¢$0.08−$3.23$0
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1692¢0.1¢$0.08−$3.23$0
Will James Wood win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1692¢0.1¢$0.08−$3.23$0
Will Otto Lopez win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1692¢0.1¢$0.08−$3.23$0
Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Andy Pages win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Francisco Lindor win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Juan Soto win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will Kyle Tucker win the 2026 National League MVP Award?Yes1492¢0.1¢$0.07−$2.85$0
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 7.0% and 8.0%?Yes12810¢0.1¢$0.06−$13$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 69°F or below on October 9?Yes110.7¢0.5¢$0.05−$0.03$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 8?Yes859.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$7.68$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 8?Yes859.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$7.68$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C or below on October 8?Yes859.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$7.68$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 8?Yes859.1¢0.1¢$0.04−$7.68$0
Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$1.78$0
Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$1.78$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$1.78$0
Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Yes583.1¢0.1¢$0.03−$1.78$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 9?99.9¢5$5.2745%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 10?99.4¢5$5.1645%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?60¢1$0.6945%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on October 9?99.8¢10$1045%46
BUY NoWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?99.9¢198$19845%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 9?3¢5$0.1545%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9?79¢10$7.7145%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 9?85¢3$2.4345%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 9?13.9¢16$2.2445%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 9?99.9¢43$4345%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9?1¢13$0.1345%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 9?85.1¢5$4.3145%46
BUY NoWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?31¢30$9.4045%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 9?88¢12$1145%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 9?99.6¢5$5.1145%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 9?83.1¢33$2845%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 9?99.9¢3$3.0545%46
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on October 9?99.8¢33$3345%46
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 9?3.3¢165$5.4545%46
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?88.2¢101$8945%46