sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,771

akroll

0x8ba…35ca
<7d old<14d old<30d oldPoliticsWeatherOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$235vol $9,523
PnL 30d+$2,838gains $1,432 · losses $1,166
PnL 7d+$2,838win rate 7d 40.0%
Win rate40.0%adj 41.4% · 30d 40.0%
Open value$1.67cash n/a
Positions38 / 158open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age0dlast trade 38m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
PnL+$2,628below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale34
Adjusted win rateraw 40.0% · shrunk toward 50%3
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yesclosed+$145Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat? · Yesclosed+$142Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? · Yesclosed+$140Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Noclosed+$97Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Noclosed+$82

Worst markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noclosed−$147Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat? · Noclosed−$147Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? · Noclosed−$145Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Noclosed−$52Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesclosed−$49

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes23.4¢15.5¢$0.38+$0.30$0
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes973.4¢0.4¢$0.34−$3.00$0
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1332.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.53$0
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1332.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.53$0
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1332.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.53$0
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1332.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.53$0
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1332.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.53$0
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1332.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.53$0
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1332.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.53$0
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes1332.7¢0.1¢$0.07−$3.53$0
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes973.4¢0.1¢$0.05−$3.29$0
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes973.4¢0.1¢$0.05−$3.29$0
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes973.4¢0.1¢$0.05−$3.29$0
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes973.4¢0.1¢$0.05−$3.29$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 83°F or below on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.02−$1.95$0
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes3220¢0.1¢$0.02−$6.33$0
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes3220¢0.1¢$0.02−$6.33$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes3220¢0.1¢$0.02−$6.33$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 13?Yes279.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.41$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 13?Yes279.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.41$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on October 13?Yes279.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.41$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13?Yes279.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.41$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 13?Yes279.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$2.41$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 102°F or higher on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 13?Yes229.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.97$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on October 13?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 13?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on October 13?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 13?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.85$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C or below on October 13?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.81$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 13?Yes209.1¢0.1¢$0.01−$1.81$0
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes5210¢0¢$0−$5.18$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes5210¢0¢$0−$5.18$0
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes5210¢0¢$0−$5.18$0
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes5210¢0¢$0−$5.18$0
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes5210¢0¢$0−$5.18$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?Yes5210¢0¢$0−$5.18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?54¢16$8.5240%55
BUY NoWill Democrats win the Georgia Governor election and Republicans win the Georgia Senate election?99.8¢16$1640%55
BUY NoWill Republicans sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections?97.8¢16$1540%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in September?99.9¢29$2940%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?97¢29$2840%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?99.8¢29$2940%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) or decrease in September?99.8¢29$2940%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?88¢29$2540%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?99.7¢29$2940%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?67¢29$1940%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?99.9¢29$2940%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?97.3¢12$1240%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in September?99.6¢12$1240%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in September?99.9¢12$1240%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?99.8¢12$1240%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in September?88¢12$1040%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?99.9¢12$1240%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) or decrease in September?99.8¢12$1240%55
BUY NoWill monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?67¢12$7.9540%55
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on October 14?0.1¢22$0.0240%55