sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,352

nelbal8486

0x8c4…fcd4
WhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$24.6kvol $1.52M
PnL 30d−$571gains $747 · losses $254
PnL 7d+$1,224win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate81.7%adj 76.6% · 30d 88.9%
Open value$101kcash n/a
Positions46 / 150open / all-time
Max drawdown−44.4%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$30.4kbelow peak −$1,979Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale63
Adjusted win rateraw 81.7% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 46

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No70.3k94.9¢98.3¢$69.1k+$2,329+$622
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No7,41569¢97.2¢$7,207+$2,087$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes7,07964.6¢81.5¢$5,770+$1,197−$340
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?No3,37595.6¢98.3¢$3,316+$89$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes8,78066.2¢36.5¢$3,205−$2,611$0
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?No3,18182.3¢93.5¢$2,974+$355−$361
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes3,20071.2¢54.5¢$1,744−$535$0
Plague pandemic in 2026?No1,67296.6¢97.1¢$1,624+$8.44$0
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes8,00015¢14.5¢$1,160−$40$0
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes8,00015¢13.5¢$1,080−$120$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes1,06391.5¢95.6¢$1,016+$43$0
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No78690.5¢92¢$723+$12$0
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes79277¢81.5¢$646+$36$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes38572.1¢95.9¢$369+$91$0
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?No47473.3¢75.5¢$358+$10$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes57619.9¢57.9¢$333+$219$0
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes46723.4¢32.4¢$151+$42$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes10091¢90.5¢$91−$0.50$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes77316.7¢11.5¢$89−$40$0
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?Yes12373.5¢45.5¢$56−$35$0
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?Yes5053¢6.5¢$3.23−$23$0
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?Yes2026¢10.5¢$2.11−$3.12$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes65.0k10.8¢0¢$0−$7,042−$707
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k1.1¢0¢$0−$550$0
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20.0k31.9¢0¢$0−$6,388−$94
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes18.6k0.8¢0¢$0−$157−$6.24
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15.0k18.7¢0¢$0−$2,805−$68
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15.0k3.2¢0¢$0−$480−$14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes4,98022.6¢0¢$0−$1,124−$162
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes3,9819.5¢0¢$0−$377−$12
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes2,80314.8¢0¢$0−$414−$0.20
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes2,44367¢0¢$0−$1,636−$16
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes2,36162.9¢0¢$0−$1,486−$154
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes2,00023¢0¢$0−$460−$14
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?Yes1,8678.2¢0¢$0−$152$0
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes1,56813.2¢0¢$0−$208−$7.01
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes1,56217.6¢0¢$0−$276−$3.96
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1,41740.6¢0¢$0−$575−$6.94
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes1,2894.5¢0¢$0−$58−$1.66
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes96922.5¢0¢$0−$218+$533
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes60213¢0¢$0−$78$0
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?Yes28353.3¢0¢$0−$151−$2.82
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes2609¢0¢$0−$23−$0.64
Will Angela Rayner be the next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes2590.1¢0¢$0−$0.26−$0.01
Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?Yes22074¢0¢$0−$163−$1.69
Will Patrick Cantlay finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes10018¢0¢$0−$18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?91¢100$9182%67
BUY NoPlague pandemic in 2026?96.6¢572$55382%67
BUY YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?77¢792$61082%67
BUY NoUK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?96¢75$7282%67
BUY NoWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?75.8¢169$12882%67
BUY NoWill the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?91¢86$7882%67
BUY YesNo one announced as next James Bond?23.4¢467$10982%67
BUY NoOpenAI IPO before 2027?92.9¢4,853$4,50682%67
BUY NoWill Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?97.8¢100$9882%67
BUY NoWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?97.8¢65$6482%67
BUY NoWill Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?97.9¢110$10782%67
BUY NoWill Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?98¢153$15082%67
BUY YesWill Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?98.9¢135$13482%67
BUY NoNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?84.2¢2,367$1,99482%67
BUY YesWill Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?72¢164$11882%67
BUY NoWill Hamza Chowdhury win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?99.8¢505$50482%67
BUY YesWill Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?15¢8,000$1,20082%67
BUY YesWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?15¢539$8182%67
BUY YesAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?26¢20$5.2382%67
BUY YesWill Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?25.8¢480$12482%67