sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,963

mm4ker

0x8c5…f939
WhalePnL 10k+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$49.3kvol $2.68M
PnL 30d−$7,178gains $1,574 · losses $8,714
PnL 7d+$300win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate69.2%adj 68.2% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$48.1kcash n/a
Positions27 / 394open / all-time
Max drawdown−53.6%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 28d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$51.4kbelow peak −$53.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 69.2% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d5
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity46

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$24.5kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$23.4kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$11.8kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$9,023US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? · Noclosed+$6,521

Worst markets

Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$15.9kArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Egyptclosed−$15.1kIran closes its airspace by June 8? · Noclosed−$8,903Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · Noclosed−$8,654US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro? · Noclosed−$7,982

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Iran leadership change by December 31?No17.6k85¢88.5¢$15.6k+$618$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6,86672.8¢84.5¢$5,802+$801$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No5,73572.9¢82.5¢$4,732+$549$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes3,62827.6¢96.1¢$3,485+$2,484$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4,42280.9¢71.4¢$3,155−$423−$1,528
Iran leadership change by October 31?No2,87487¢98.4¢$2,826+$326$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No2,81480¢93.5¢$2,631+$381$0
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes2,22674.2¢98.8¢$2,200+$549$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes10.4k49.8¢16.5¢$1,708−$3,447$0
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No1,12489¢95¢$1,067+$67$0
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes1,20086¢88.5¢$1,062+$30$0
Kash Patel out by December 31?No99537.1¢80¢$796+$427$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No73568¢74¢$544+$44$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes5,71435¢8.5¢$486−$1,514$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No50067¢93.5¢$467+$132$0
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No44544.9¢89.5¢$399+$199$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No37858.5¢79¢$299+$78$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes44267.9¢63¢$278−$22$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No28488¢92¢$261+$11$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes45463.9¢24.5¢$111−$179$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes67929.5¢11.5¢$78−$122$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes50023¢9.5¢$47−$67$0
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No3584.8¢96.2¢$34+$4.01$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No2,50020¢0.8¢$19−$481$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?Yes41313.1¢4.1¢$17−$37$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes2,0001.2¢0.7¢$13−$12$0
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?No1080¢88.5¢$8.85+$0.85$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?18¢326$5969%60
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?18.1¢19.9k$3,61769%60
SELL YesWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?8.8¢3,000$26369%60
BUY YesWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?17¢788$13469%60
BUY NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?78¢10$7.8069%60
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?41¢1,829$75069%60
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢1,659$71469%60
BUY NoChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?68¢735$50069%60
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?89¢1,124$1,00069%60
BUY YesWill there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?86¢1,200$1,03269%60
BUY NoFed rate hike in 2026?35¢2,857$1,00069%60
BUY NoPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?78¢113$8869%60
BUY NoIran leadership change by December 31?85¢17.6k$15.0k69%60Whale
BUY NoIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?88¢284$25069%60
BUY NoIran leadership change by October 31?87¢2,874$2,50069%60
BUY NoIran leadership change by September 30?92¢4,891$4,50069%60
SELL Fluxo W7MLoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season47¢766$36069%60
BUY Fluxo W7MLoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season65.3¢766$50069%60
BUY NoWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?66.3¢2,412$1,60069%60
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?97.5¢5,384$5,25069%60