PnL all-time+$5.95vol $15.8k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate81.7%adj 73.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$118cash n/a
Positions2 / 63open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.1%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$5.97below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale11
Adjusted win rateraw 81.7% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved? · Yesclosed+$6.02Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? · Yesclosed+$0.66Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$0.53Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$0.42Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June? · Noclosed+$0.40
Worst markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting? · Noclosed−$1.09Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$1.09Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$1.09Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day? · Noclosed−$1.09Will a candidate from another party win New Hampshire Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$0.50
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | No | 100 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$0.10 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? | No | 18 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $18 | +$0.02 | $0 |
Recent trades
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