sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,781

MajoriT

0x8c7…06ac
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$26.8kvol $2.79M
PnL 30d+$76gains $1,119 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$652win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.1%adj 72.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$81.6kcash n/a
Positions95 / 489open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 15d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$25.0kbelow peak −$34.0kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

37/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.1% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d50
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 95

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No37.3k84.5¢97¢$36.2k+$4,632$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No25.0k92.2¢98.7¢$24.6k+$1,604$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No8,47283.2¢97.2¢$8,235+$1,182$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,00039.5¢48.4¢$2,907+$536$0
New pandemic in 2026?No2,90988.6¢95.5¢$2,778+$199$0
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,80013.9¢96.7¢$1,740+$1,489−$30
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No1,78090.7¢86.5¢$1,540−$76$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No1,00094¢99.1¢$990+$50$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,00021.9¢14.9¢$891−$421$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,91526.7¢15.5¢$759−$551$0
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?No49592.8¢86.6¢$429−$31$0
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No37398.4¢99.9¢$372+$5.41$0
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes13.6k47.9¢0.6¢$81−$6,430$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes50061¢11.5¢$57−$247$0
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,73011.6¢0.3¢$4.33−$196$0
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?Yes3012¢14¢$4.20+$0.60$0
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,0687¢0.2¢$1.60−$73+$26
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes11217.9¢0.7¢$0.73−$19$0
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes42923.3¢0.2¢$0.64−$99$0
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes24.6k98.8¢0¢$0−$24.3k$0
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes20.1k25¢0¢$0−$5,032$0
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes13.5k11.2¢0¢$0−$1,512$0
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?Yes10.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?Yes5,0200.9¢0¢$0−$43+$59
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0000.8¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0000.8¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes3,95815.5¢0¢$0−$614$0
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No3,46932.7¢0¢$0−$1,133+$134
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?Yes2,36174.5¢0¢$0−$1,760−$136
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,24728.7¢0¢$0−$646$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes2,22226¢0¢$0−$578$0
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No2,0003.9¢0¢$0−$78$0
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes2,00053¢0¢$0−$1,060$0
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes1,3003.7¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,1119¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes1,0233.9¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?No1,0003.5¢0¢$0−$35$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?Yes1,00030¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?Yes1,0002.6¢0¢$0−$26$0
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0001.9¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Yes1,00012¢0¢$0−$120$0
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No1,00031¢0¢$0−$310$0
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander ZverevRafael Jodar1,00020¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Trump say "Where is" 3+ times during NCAA National Champions remarks on April 21?Yes1,0000.9¢0¢$0−$9.00$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes9878.5¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will Middlesbrough achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?Yes91457.7¢0¢$0−$527$0
Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes90020.5¢0¢$0−$185$0
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?Yes86262.9¢0¢$0−$542−$928
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes80135.1¢0¢$0−$281$0
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?Yes7001.6¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No67836¢0¢$0−$244$0
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes60039¢0¢$0−$234$0
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?Yes5859¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5673.8¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No56762¢0¢$0−$352$0
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 202.5Under50044¢0¢$0−$220$0
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes50026¢0¢$0−$130$0
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Over50050¢0¢$0−$250$0
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9-12%?Yes5006¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No50015¢0¢$0−$75$0
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)SC Internacional50017¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3509.1¢0¢$0−$32$0
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes34527¢0¢$0−$93$0
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Yes34537¢0¢$0−$128$0
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?Yes34523¢0¢$0−$79$0
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under34545¢0¢$0−$155$0
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?Yes30524.7¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes30023¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes30016.5¢0¢$0−$49$0
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No23431¢0¢$0−$73$0
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers22769¢0¢$0−$157$0
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes21018¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2004.3¢0¢$0−$8.60$0
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes20011¢0¢$0−$22$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No15094.3¢0¢$0−$141$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes12312¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes12318¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?No12312¢0¢$0−$15$0
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)PortlandFire10046¢0¢$0−$46$0
Will Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes1008.1¢0¢$0−$8.10$0
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?No9887¢0¢$0−$85$0
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes8124¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will the Conservative Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes780.4¢0¢$0−$0.31$0
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes6963¢0¢$0−$44$0
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?No545¢0¢$0−$2.69$0
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?Yes5025¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?No506.3¢0¢$0−$3.15$0
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes491.6¢0¢$0−$0.77$0
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3920¢0¢$0−$7.87$0
Will Oscar Diaz win Top Chef Season 23?Yes3551¢0¢$0−$18$0
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: WinnerSidemen FC1045.7¢0¢$0−$4.50$0
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No850¢0¢$0−$3.97$0
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes620¢0¢$0−$1.25$0
Will Jackson Suber win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?Yes50.9¢0¢$0−$0.04$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?53¢1,101$58473%37
BUY NoWill Mario Boos Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?93¢181$16873%37
BUY NoWill Scott Seiver cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?99.5¢306$30573%37
BUY NoWill Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?98¢1,000$98073%37
BUY NoWill Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?93.5¢2,644$2,47373%37
BUY NoWill Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?96.9¢2,012$1,95173%37
BUY NoWill Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?81.4¢1,400$1,14073%37
BUY NoWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?98.4¢373$36773%37
SELL YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?27¢1,000$27073%37
SELL YesIran closes its airspace by May 27?32.3¢1,500$48573%37
BUY NoWill OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?95¢1,590$1,51173%37
BUY NoIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?66¢203$13473%37
SELL YesWill Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?13¢25$3.2573%37
SELL NoWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?99.9¢5,721$5,71573%37
SELL YesWill Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?50.2¢101$5173%37
SELL YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?19¢5,690$1,08173%37
SELL YesWill Djed Spence be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?40¢20$8.0073%37
BUY NoWill Adam Wharton be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?98¢1,005$98573%37
BUY NoWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?93.7¢700$65673%37
BUY YesWill Hull City AFC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?93.7¢435$40873%37