PnL all-time−$14vol $34.8k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate82.1%adj 68.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$193cash n/a
Positions3 / 31open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.7%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$14below peak −$4.41Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 82.1% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? · Noclosed+$0.29Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? · Noclosed+$0.19Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Noclosed+$0.19Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? · Noclosed+$0.18Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? · Noclosed+$0.16
Worst markets
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$5.53Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$5.52Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$2.75Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? · Noclosed−$1.76Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Noclosed−$1.00
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | No | 116 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $116 | +$0.12 | −$0.01 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | No | 45 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $45 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | No | 32 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $32 | +$0.03 | $0 |
Recent trades
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