sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,762

Detbet

0x8cb…66e3
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$716vol $125k
PnL 30d+$520gains $2,174 · losses $64
PnL 7d+$146win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate92.9%adj 83.3% · 30d 95.6%
Open value$11.9kcash n/a
Positions31 / 104open / all-time
Max drawdown−80.8%of equity peak
Account age43dlast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$751below peak −$710Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 92.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity19

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Noclosed+$468US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$345Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yesclosed+$222Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yesclosed+$219Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yesopen+$176

Worst markets

Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noopen−$986U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? · Noopen−$255Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Noopen−$248Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · Noopen−$247Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$173

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes3,16280.9¢85.5¢$2,703+$146+$30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Yes2,00094.7¢98.4¢$1,967+$73$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,50086¢82.5¢$1,238−$53$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No1,20083¢80.5¢$966−$30$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo1,00091¢90.5¢$905−$5.00$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No1,00086¢88.5¢$885+$25$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No58586¢90.5¢$530+$26+$19
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No50088¢89¢$445+$5.00$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No50080¢73.5¢$368−$33$0
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?No1,00034¢33.5¢$335−$5.00$0
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes27086¢89.5¢$242+$9.45$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No30074¢72.5¢$218−$4.50$0
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No20081¢90.5¢$181+$19$0
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No18388¢87.5¢$160−$0.92$0
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No13188.7¢97¢$127+$11+$0.16
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No14374¢86.5¢$124+$18$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No10083¢95.5¢$96+$13$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No10085¢93.5¢$94+$8.50$0
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?No7585.8¢85.2¢$64−$0.45$0
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No10070¢59¢$59−$11$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No4789¢97.5¢$46+$3.95$0
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?No30072¢14.5¢$44−$173$0
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?No4191¢96.1¢$39+$2.07$0
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?No2887¢98¢$28+$3.08$0
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Yes5034¢30.5¢$15−$1.75$0
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?No565¢71.5¢$3.78+$0.34$0
Will Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?No586¢37¢$1.87−$2.48$0
Trump renames AI by September 30?No1,60061.4¢0¢$0−$983−$3.26
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No30085¢0¢$0−$255$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No30082.4¢0¢$0−$247$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No30082.7¢0¢$0−$248$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?80¢232$18693%54
BUY NoPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?94¢745$70093%54
BUY NoKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?90.1¢347$31393%54
BUY NoKlitschko out as Kyiv mayor by December 31, 2026?75¢80$6093%54
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House91¢1,000$91093%54
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?85.2¢471$40193%54
SELL NoIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?95¢200$19093%54
SELL NoGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?30.4¢464$14193%54
BUY NoGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?42¢464$19593%54
BUY NoWill Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?79¢50$4093%54
BUY NoWill Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?83¢18$1593%54
BUY NoWill Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?79¢100$7993%54
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78¢181$14193%54
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?81¢5,764$4,66993%54
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78¢8,047$6,27793%54
BUY NoWill Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?62¢185$11493%54
BUY NoWill Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?78¢108$8493%54
BUY NoWill Donald Trump visit Maine before the midterms?86¢5$4.3593%54
BUY NoSkin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?34¢1,000$34093%54
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?72¢80$5893%54