sharpside
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marcopolosrhino

0x8d0…2753
CryptoPoliticsOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$560vol $75.0k
PnL 30d+$245gains $606 · losses $231
PnL 7d−$30win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.7%adj 52.6% · 30d 59.5%
Open value$9,270cash n/a
Positions159 / 683open / all-time
Max drawdown−50.8%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,329below peak −$186Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale39
Adjusted win rateraw 52.7% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity49

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3,28669¢83.5¢$2,744+$477+$86
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?No91066.6¢85¢$774+$168+$11
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?No50389.4¢95.8¢$482+$32$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes40274.7¢62.5¢$251−$49$0
AI bubble burst in 2026?No26783.3¢93.9¢$251+$28+$27
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?No23493.3¢97¢$227+$8.68+$1.95
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes26782.5¢82.5¢$220−$0.10$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?No23989.4¢90.5¢$217+$2.62$0
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?No23190.1¢93.5¢$216+$7.79$0
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?No24177.2¢77¢$186−$0.54+$9.75
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?No29723.2¢61¢$181+$112+$4.21
Will AVAX dip to $3 by December 31, 2026?No18880.4¢95.2¢$179+$28+$47
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?No21289.6¢82.5¢$175−$15$0
Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026?No17181.7¢93.3¢$160+$20$0
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?No19078.8¢79.5¢$151+$1.39$0
Will Manchester City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No15672¢80¢$125+$13−$1.91
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?No13174.8¢89.4¢$117+$19+$14
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in October?No12977.6¢83.5¢$108+$7.58$0
Will Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No11289¢87¢$98−$2.23$0
Will UNI dip to $3.00 by December 31, 2026?No10887.9¢88.3¢$95+$0.43+$8.81
Will AVAX dip to $4 by December 31, 2026?No9984.9¢93.5¢$93+$8.56$0
Will AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?No9185.8¢96.3¢$88+$9.54+$2.05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?Yes18955.7¢45.5¢$86−$19$0
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 5?No8693.5¢92.7¢$79−$0.70+$0.13
Will Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?No8269.6¢95.5¢$78+$21+$38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?No7790.6¢92.1¢$71+$1.13$0
Will UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?No9774¢73.5¢$71−$0.48+$1.33
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in October?No9265¢70.5¢$65+$5.09$0
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes43622.5¢14.5¢$63−$35$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?Yes27620.3¢22.5¢$62+$6.05$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes9168.4¢66.3¢$60−$2.00−$3.86
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1,5424.9¢3.9¢$59−$17+$56
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $6.00T and $6.50T at the end of 2026?Yes25313.8¢22¢$56+$21$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes16554.4¢33.5¢$55−$35$0
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX7480.9¢71.5¢$53−$6.99$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October?No5985¢87.5¢$51+$1.47$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?No5394.7¢96.8¢$51+$1.13$0
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?No5279.4¢89.5¢$46+$5.23+$3.32
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes25011.2¢17.8¢$44+$16$0
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.50T at the end of 2026?No5178.2¢82¢$42+$1.93$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes25020¢16¢$40−$10.00$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes8745.9¢45.5¢$40−$0.36$0
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes18022.2¢21.5¢$39−$1.23$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in October?No6067¢64¢$38−$1.79$0
Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?Yes6965.5¢55.5¢$38−$6.85$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October?Yes6858.7¢54¢$37−$3.18$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 in October?No13854.1¢26.5¢$36−$38$0
Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes8664.3¢42.5¢$36−$19$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of 2026?No3586¢91¢$32+$1.74$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?No5933.9¢51.5¢$30+$10$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?No3879.6¢80¢$30+$0.14$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No16338¢17.5¢$28−$33+$6.69
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 in October?No5752.6¢49.5¢$28−$1.77$0
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?No3374.7¢83¢$28+$2.76$0
Will AVAX dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?No3878¢71.5¢$27−$2.50$0
Will AVAX dip to $7 by December 31, 2026?No4763.6¢56¢$26−$3.60$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 in October?No4567¢58.5¢$26−$3.81$0
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes24220.7¢10.5¢$25−$25$0
Will Arsenal finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?No16618.1¢13.5¢$22−$7.59$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 in October?No4346.5¢51.5¢$22+$2.15$0
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3361¢65¢$21+$1.31$0
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes8734.4¢23.5¢$21−$9.49$0
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026?Yes8723¢23.5¢$20+$0.43$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Yes15116.5¢13.5¢$20−$4.60$0
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes4445¢42.5¢$19−$1.11$0
Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026?Yes6829.5¢25.5¢$17−$2.72$0
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes12915.5¢12.8¢$16−$3.51$0
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes6531¢24.5¢$16−$4.19$0
Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?Yes2935¢51.5¢$15+$4.71$0
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes7220.9¢20.5¢$15−$0.32$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in October?No5020¢27¢$14+$3.50$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes17712.4¢7.4¢$13−$8.92$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes3624.1¢3.6¢$13−$2.13$0
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?No1743.8¢72.5¢$12+$4.91+$2.48
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5240.4¢23.5¢$12−$8.78−$16
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Yes3330¢32¢$11+$0.67$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes8312¢12.5¢$10+$0.42−$0.97
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?No1565¢57.5¢$8.85−$1.15$0
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes5618¢15.2¢$8.43−$1.57$0
Will Chainlink dip to $10 by December 31, 2026?No2148.7¢40.5¢$8.32−$1.68$0
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?Yes4224¢17.3¢$7.19−$2.81$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2622.7¢27¢$7.12+$1.12$0
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes8324¢8.5¢$7.08−$13−$0.04
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes4214.2¢16¢$6.78+$0.78$0
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?Yes1730¢40.5¢$6.75+$1.75$0
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Yes2025¢31.5¢$6.30+$1.30−$0.62
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes2025¢31.5¢$6.30+$1.30$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes2404.6¢2.6¢$6.13−$4.87$0
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?Yes865.8¢6.8¢$5.87+$0.87$0
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?No691.8¢93.8¢$5.49+$0.11+$1.10
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes5010¢10.4¢$5.17+$0.17$0
Nothing Ever Happens: OctoberSomething717¢7¢$5.00$0$0
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes1135.3¢3.9¢$4.35−$1.65$0
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 in October?No1534¢25¢$3.68−$1.32$0
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes504¢7.1¢$3.57+$1.57$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes3472.9¢1¢$3.47−$6.53$0
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes2025¢17.2¢$3.43−$1.57$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes3514.2¢8¢$2.80−$2.20$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5640.9¢0.5¢$2.54−$2.46$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1001¢2.4¢$2.35+$1.35$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill AVAX dip to $5 by December 31, 2026?95¢26$2453%55
SELL NoWill Manchester City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?70.4¢52$3753%55
BUY NoWill Hull City finish in last place in the 2026-27 English Premier League season?88¢57$5053%55
BUY NoWill UNI dip to $4.00 by December 31, 2026?82¢12$1053%55
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?84¢36$3053%55
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?83.5¢24$2053%55
BUY NoWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 in October?33¢30$1053%55
BUY YesWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in October?55¢18$1053%55
BUY NoWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in October?85¢24$2053%55
BUY NoWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in October?77¢13$1053%55
BUY NoWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in October?90¢56$5053%55
SELL NoAI bubble burst in 2026?93.8¢89$8353%55
BUY YesWill UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026?30¢17$5.0053%55
BUY YesWill UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?45¢44$2053%55
BUY NoWill a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?89¢22$2053%55
BUY NoWill a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?94.1¢5$5.0053%55
BUY NoWill a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 20?89¢22$2053%55
BUY NoWill Chainlink dip to $10 by December 31, 2026?48.7¢21$1053%55
BUY NoWill Chainlink dip to $6 by December 31, 2026?92¢22$2053%55
BUY YesWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?18¢56$1053%55