PnL all-time−$563vol $8,950
PnL 30d−$1,956gains $0 · losses $187
PnL 7d−$284win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 45.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,060cash n/a
Positions5 / 7open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age20dlast trade 2h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,008below peak −$2,443Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
12/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%14
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable28
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · Yesopen−$1,479Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · Yesopen−$251Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? · Yesclosed−$180Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? · Yesopen−$69Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · Noclosed−$6.57
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 2,342 | 60.9¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,511 | +$84 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | Yes | 2,481 | 76.3¢ | 28.5¢ | $707 | −$1,186 | −$293 | |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | Yes | 557 | 91.5¢ | 96.7¢ | $539 | +$29 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | Yes | 992 | 47.3¢ | 27.5¢ | $273 | −$196 | −$55 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | Yes | 78 | 92¢ | 39.5¢ | $31 | −$41 | −$28 |
Recent trades
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