sharpside
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Traders/Rank #7,882

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0x8d5…4205
<30d oldPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,369vol $78.8k
PnL 30d−$1,172gains $7,795 · losses $8,810
PnL 7d−$810win rate 7d 46.6%
Win rate46.2%adj 46.4% · 30d 46.2%
Open value$35cash n/a
Positions24 / 432open / all-time
Max drawdown−94.1%of equity peak
Account age18dlast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,088below peak −$1,023Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.2% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable88
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity6

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Yesclosed+$368US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$195Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yesclosed+$180Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$169Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$165

Worst markets

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Noclosed−$392Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$210US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$200Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Noclosed−$187Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$182

Open positions · 11

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026?No2074¢56¢$11−$3.60$0
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No789¢91.5¢$6.81+$0.19−$38
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No287¢88.5¢$2.13+$0.04−$140
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?Yes386¢81.5¢$2.04−$0.11−$40
Will Summit be the most played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?No10061.8¢1.4¢$1.40−$60$0
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?No271.8¢75.5¢$1.23+$0.06−$44
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?No165¢82.5¢$1.17+$0.25−$68
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?No284¢74.5¢$1.12−$0.14−$25
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes266.7¢60¢$1.12−$0.13−$16
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No169.6¢81¢$1.11+$0.16−$83
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes260¢56.7¢$1.08−$0.06−$55

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?80.4¢200$16146%33
BUY NoWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?23¢200$4646%33
BUY YesWill Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026?35¢20$7.0046%33
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?79¢200$15846%33
BUY YesWill the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?18.2¢28$5.0946%33
BUY YesWill the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?17.4¢172$3046%33
BUY YesWill the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?20¢50$1046%33
BUY YesWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?34¢12$4.1146%33
BUY NoWill Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?24¢200$4846%33
BUY YesWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?32.4¢30$9.7246%33
BUY YesWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?31.2¢30$9.3146%33
BUY YesWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of Romania?31.2¢30$9.4146%33
BUY NoWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?30.2¢200$6046%33
BUY YesWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?45¢200$9046%33
BUY NoWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?61¢38$2346%33
BUY NoWill Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?18.2¢200$3646%33
BUY YesWill Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?22¢200$4446%33
BUY NoSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?72¢180$13046%33
BUY YesWill more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?49¢50$2546%33
BUY YesSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?32¢50$1646%33