sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

rocky42016

0x8d8…1e28
1y+WeatherPoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$8,357vol $11.2M
PnL 30d−$3,496gains $5,318 · losses $5,144
PnL 7d−$1,639win rate 7d 56.5%
Win rate48.8%adj 48.8% · 30d 51.1%
Open value$6,278cash n/a
Positions171 / 7,714open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$8,446below peak −$25.7kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

31/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.8% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?No34772¢87.5¢$304+$54$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Yes27788¢100¢$277+$33$0
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?No32776¢77.5¢$254+$4.91$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No44053.6¢57.5¢$253+$17+$1.69
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-16 House seat?Yes24993¢97.2¢$242+$10+$1.84
Will the Republican Party win the NY-13 House seat?No24393¢97.7¢$237+$11+$1.32
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No56743.7¢41.5¢$236−$13−$2.11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?Yes21556¢100¢$215+$95+$17
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?No1,02524.7¢20.5¢$210−$43$0
OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?Yes30066¢67.5¢$203+$4.50$0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?No83516.7¢23.5¢$196+$57−$9.02
Atherton Collieries AFC vs. Trafford FC: O/U 3.5Under17348.7¢100¢$173+$89$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No17497.3¢99¢$172+$2.86+$0.47
Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?No82919.7¢19.5¢$162−$1.26−$26
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under15950¢100¢$159+$80$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under15648.2¢100¢$156+$81+$9.34
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 5?No15685¢100¢$156+$23+$0.75
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No1,19812.7¢12.3¢$147−$4.37+$101
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 6?No11757¢100¢$117+$50+$7.12
Will St Albans City FC win on 2026-10-03?No10973.6¢100¢$109+$29$0
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes30039¢35.5¢$106−$11−$8.53
Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality9868¢100¢$98+$31$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?No62811.5¢15.5¢$97+$25$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 12?No9680¢99.9¢$96+$19$0
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs ex-Keyd Stars (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsex-Keyd Stars9561¢100¢$95+$37+$0.72
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes1,24924.9¢7¢$87−$224+$1.99
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD - Map 1 WinnerTeam Vitality8084¢100¢$80+$13$0
Spread: San Diego (-14.5)San Diego8057¢100¢$80+$34$0
No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?No13251.5¢60¢$79+$11+$15
Memphis vs. Charlotte: O/U 61.5Over7939¢100¢$79+$48$0
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 102 km/h or above in September?No7893¢100¢$78+$5.46+$1.77
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes29929¢23.5¢$70−$16+$124
Spread: Lebanon (-3.5)Lebanon6634.4¢100¢$66+$43$0
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?No6181.2¢100¢$61+$11$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?Yes16234¢36.5¢$59+$4.06+$0.72
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?No64218.3¢8.5¢$55−$63+$39
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?No16128¢32¢$52+$6.50+$0.86
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?No38314¢12.1¢$46−$7.28−$0.73
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?Yes14435¢31.5¢$45−$5.02+$8.50
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes30020¢14.5¢$44−$17$0
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 9?No3858¢100¢$38+$16+$0.51
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No4190¢91.5¢$38+$0.62+$86
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 3?No3651.4¢100¢$36+$17$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat?No85610¢4.1¢$35−$51$0
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 3?No3589¢100¢$35+$3.81−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 8?No3482.6¢100¢$34+$5.97+$2.37
Will Nolo peak at Category 5?No338¢98.4¢$32+$29$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 2?No2847.1¢100¢$28+$15+$21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 6?No2784.8¢100¢$27+$4.08−$16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes3085.2¢87.7¢$26+$0.75+$136
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?No2584.1¢100¢$25+$3.95$0
Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No2478¢100¢$24+$5.19+$6.36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 6?No2279.7¢100¢$22+$4.56−$4.43
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-06 House election by 25%-30%?No2587¢80.5¢$20−$1.63+$2.75
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 8?No2080¢100¢$20+$4.00+$7.87
Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes3547¢56¢$20+$3.19+$0.13
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No2525.5¢78¢$20+$13−$0.94
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes30015¢6.5¢$19−$25+$28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on October 5?No1968¢100¢$19+$5.96+$0.30
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes6653.7¢2.7¢$18−$7.09+$0.07
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group BTeam Vitality1768.5¢100¢$17+$5.48−$4.96
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?No1774.3¢100¢$17+$4.33+$0.62
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes29927.5¢5.5¢$16−$66−$38
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?Yes16511¢9.5¢$16−$2.49−$3.88
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes5211.2¢2.8¢$14+$8.02+$3.98
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?No15650.6¢9¢$14−$65−$25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 7?Down1344¢100¢$13+$7.00$0
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?No3434.2¢35.5¢$12+$0.43+$8.46
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 5?No1249.1¢100¢$12+$5.96+$9.09
Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?No3830¢29.5¢$11−$0.19+$0.21
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes1245¢8.5¢$11+$4.29+$4.51
Will China’s CPI increase by at least 1.1% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026?Yes3921.2¢26.9¢$10+$2.22$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 10?No1059¢100¢$10+$4.18−$0.38
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?No1946¢48.5¢$9.17+$0.47$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on October 12?Yes1637.8¢54¢$8.63+$2.59$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-20 House seat?No2605.4¢2.8¢$7.15−$6.85$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes2602¢2.6¢$6.62+$1.35+$4.02
Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?Yes2274¢2.7¢$6.13−$2.95$0
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?Yes2081.2¢2.8¢$5.72+$3.22+$3.22
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under562.5¢100¢$5.33+$2.00$0
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 6?No578¢100¢$5.11+$1.12+$3.77
Will Nolo peak at Category 3?No595.2¢99.4¢$4.94+$0.21$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?Yes532¢100¢$4.91+$3.34+$42
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?No6240.8¢7.5¢$4.64−$21−$18
Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?Yes9719.8¢4.6¢$4.42−$15$0
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No495.1¢99.7¢$3.58+$0.16+$2.28
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?No595.1¢5.9¢$3.50+$0.49$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12?No477¢76.5¢$3.31−$0.02$0
Human moon landing in 2026?Yes2153.6¢1.5¢$3.12−$4.67+$45
World Championship of Legends: England Champions vs West Indies ChampionsWest Indies Champions331¢100¢$3.12+$2.15$0
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesIndia376¢100¢$2.80+$0.67+$1.54
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?No364.2¢70.5¢$2.36+$0.21−$7.38
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-04 House seat?No693.8¢3.2¢$2.22−$0.42$0
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week?Yes246¢100¢$2.04+$1.10$0
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes5751.4¢0.4¢$2.01−$5.98+$2.36
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1,2492.5¢0.2¢$1.87−$29$0
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes268¢100¢$1.83+$0.59$0
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes4341.8¢0.4¢$1.74−$5.91−$0.96
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes9123¢0.2¢$1.37−$26+$1.23
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2541.7¢0.5¢$1.27−$3.03−$7.00

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?28¢11$3.0849%31
SELL NoWill Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?30¢42$1349%31
SELL NoWill Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?31¢144$4549%31
SELL NoWill the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?12.1¢30$3.6349%31
SELL OverRomania vs. Norway: O/U 3.548¢80$3849%31
SELL NoWill OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?22¢21$4.6249%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 9?59¢10$5.9049%31
SELL YesWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?53¢92$4949%31
SELL Natus VincereLoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage59¢12$7.0849%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3?55¢29$1649%31
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?76¢26$2049%31
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?76¢131$10049%31
SELL YesWill the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?54¢17$9.1849%31
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?57.4¢20$1149%31
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?62.3¢40$2549%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24?56¢40$2249%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24?56¢63$3549%31
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 22?51¢77$3949%31
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22?89.5¢54$4849%31
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 22?67¢12$8.0449%31