PnL all-time+$10.4kvol $284k
PnL 30d+$59.5kgains $2,857 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$58.7kwin rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 58.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$361kcash n/a
Positions3 / 7open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$18.8kbelow peak −$413Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable28
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Trump out as President before 2027? · Noopen+$8,411Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? · Noclosed+$4,262Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noopen+$4,186Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed+$3,300Trump out as President by June 30? · Noclosed+$2,017
Worst markets
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 289k | 50¢ | 51.5¢ | $149k | +$4,186 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 289k | 50¢ | 48.6¢ | $140k | −$4,186 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 75.1k | 84.8¢ | 96¢ | $72.1k | +$8,411 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Trump out as President by June 30? | 93¢ | 2,498 | $2,323 | 100% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Trump out as President by June 30? | 94¢ | 10.9k | $10.2k | 100% | 19 | Whale | ||
| BUY No | Trump out as President before 2027? | 86¢ | 1,520 | $1,307 | 100% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Trump out as President before 2027? | 85¢ | 3,587 | $3,049 | 100% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 95.5¢ | 3,103 | $2,964 | 100% | 19 |