sharpside
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Traders/Rank #14,234

ruyi686

0x8e5…53b3
1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$5,726vol $1.71M
PnL 30d+$1,079gains $3,288 · losses $1,877
PnL 7d+$861win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 34.0% · 30d 55.2%
Open value$371cash n/a
Positions38 / 503open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,305below peak −$4,324Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 38

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETUp37753¢52.5¢$198−$1.89$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8PM ETUp22650.8¢16.5¢$37−$78$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3263¢63.5¢$20+$0.16−$0.16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes3628¢34¢$12+$2.14$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1447.2¢80.5¢$11+$4.52$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes3517¢25.5¢$9.00+$3.00$0
Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes2835.2¢30.5¢$8.67−$1.33$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?Yes535.7¢12.9¢$6.78+$3.78$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?Yes1954¢36.5¢$6.76−$3.24$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes4323¢14.5¢$6.30−$3.70$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes1006.7¢6.2¢$6.20−$0.50$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes1828¢23.5¢$4.20−$0.80$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes662¢61.5¢$3.97−$0.03$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?Yes2227¢15¢$3.33−$2.67$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes742.3¢46.9¢$3.32+$0.32$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes742.4¢44.2¢$3.13+$0.13$0
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes1127¢27.5¢$3.06+$0.06$0
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?Yes1022¢29¢$2.90+$0.70$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes565¢62.5¢$2.88−$0.12$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes561¢57.5¢$2.83−$0.17$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes2810.6¢9.9¢$2.79−$0.21$0
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?Yes973.1¢2.7¢$2.61−$0.39$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes288¢87.1¢$1.98−$0.02$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes454.6¢52.8¢$1.93−$0.07$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes1122.7¢1.7¢$1.90−$1.10$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No276¢75.5¢$1.59−$0.01$0
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Yes237¢6.5¢$1.49−$0.11$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 13?Yes634.1¢25¢$1.46−$0.54$0
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?Yes138¢10.5¢$1.31+$0.31$0
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Yes1029¢12.5¢$1.25−$1.65$0
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes182¢73¢$0.89−$0.11$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes273¢4.4¢$0.09−$1.41$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8AM ETUp30437.8¢0¢$0−$115−$4.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp29554.3¢0¢$0−$160−$5.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETUp19651¢0¢$0−$100−$3.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10AM ETUp19252¢0¢$0−$100−$3.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp19252¢0¢$0−$100−$3.36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12?Yes440¢0¢$0−$1.60−$0.05

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET54¢185$10033%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET53¢189$10033%28
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET99¢377$37433%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET53¢189$10033%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET53¢189$10033%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8PM ET35¢43$1533%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8PM ET54.5¢184$10033%28
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House62¢6$4.0033%28
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 13?5.7¢53$3.0033%28
BUY YesSaudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?7¢23$1.6033%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET49¢31$1533%28
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET98¢426$41733%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET51¢196$10033%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET47¢213$10033%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET47¢213$10033%28
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET99¢473$46933%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET51¢196$10033%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET53¢28$1533%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET53¢28$1533%28
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET53¢28$1533%28