PnL all-time+$537kvol $7.55M
PnL 30d+$24.1kgains $8,876 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,884win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate72.2%adj 68.8% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$242kcash n/a
Positions19 / 129open / all-time
Max drawdown−10.8%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 4d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$538kbelow peak −$23.1kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale82
Adjusted win rateraw 72.2% · shrunk toward 50%72
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$468kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Noclosed+$47.7kWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Yesclosed+$32.0kWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$21.3kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Noclosed+$14.3k
Worst markets
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yesopen−$46.6kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$35.5kWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? · Yesclosed−$15.6kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$13.9kWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$9,996
Open positions · 19
Recent trades
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