PnL all-time+$38.7kvol $4.26M
PnL 30d+$344gains $190 · losses $20
PnL 7d−$114win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate77.8%adj 75.9% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$6,259cash n/a
Positions10 / 286open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.2%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$39.3kbelow peak −$3,131Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 77.8% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$14.8kWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Noclosed+$12.6kWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$5,243Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed+$3,524Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yesclosed+$2,560
Worst markets
Will Daniel Baluta finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election? · Yesclosed−$8,038Will Anca Alexandrescu finish third in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election? · Yesclosed−$4,576Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31? · Noclosed−$1,720Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Yesclosed−$1,634Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round? · Yesclosed−$1,239
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | Yes | 2,450 | 94.1¢ | 81.2¢ | $1,990 | −$316 | +$137 | |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 2,504 | 64.4¢ | 77.3¢ | $1,935 | +$323 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1,000 | 32.8¢ | 86.4¢ | $864 | +$536 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? | Yes | 594 | 69.9¢ | 87.8¢ | $521 | +$106 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31? | Yes | 343 | 63.3¢ | 78¢ | $267 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 200 | 74¢ | 87.7¢ | $175 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 200 | 85.5¢ | 83.5¢ | $167 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31? | Yes | 205 | 47¢ | 77.5¢ | $159 | +$62 | $0 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 94.5¢ | $94 | +$8.50 | $0 | |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 92 | 82¢ | 94.5¢ | $87 | +$12 | +$24 |
Recent trades
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