sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

EP10

0x8e7…f429
WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportWeatherCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$30.1kvol $6.93M
PnL 30d+$302gains $921 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$158win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.5%adj 72.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$5,879cash n/a
Positions53 / 217open / all-time
Max drawdown−86.6%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$29.8kbelow peak −$25.6kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.5% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity13

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 53

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes4,00077¢70.5¢$2,820−$260$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No2,71350¢84.6¢$2,294+$937$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,71350¢15.5¢$419−$937$0
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes6,9864.2¢3.7¢$255−$38+$1.75
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes22131.2¢22.5¢$50−$19+$0.39
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes80210¢5¢$40−$40+$5.46
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,4177¢0.1¢$1.42−$99$0
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1.10M0.1¢0¢$0−$1,198−$36
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1.10M0.1¢0¢$0−$1,197−$36
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes500k0.2¢0¢$0−$1,000−$30
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?Yes300k0.1¢0¢$0−$300−$8.99
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes250k0.4¢0¢$0−$1,000−$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No229k1.2¢0¢$0−$2,674$0
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?No209k0.5¢0¢$0−$1,099$0
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes115k1.2¢0¢$0−$1,429−$8.96
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?Yes110k0.2¢0¢$0−$220$0
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.3¢0¢$0−$300−$8.97
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$200−$5.99
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$200−$5.99
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.4¢0¢$0−$400−$12
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$200−$5.99
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.1¢0¢$0−$100−$3.00
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$200−$5.99
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$200−$5.99
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.2¢0¢$0−$200−$5.99
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes100k0.3¢0¢$0−$300−$8.97
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$100−$2.99
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k2¢0¢$0−$1,000−$29
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-04-24?Yes15.9k2.4¢0¢$0−$377$0
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos PradoJuan Carlos Prado12.4k31.7¢0¢$0−$3,938−$2.02
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?No11.7k0.3¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?No10.0k4¢0¢$0−$400$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No8,1976.1¢0¢$0−$500−$19
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas EtcheverryDino Prizmic7,8750.4¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?Yes7,15430.5¢0¢$0−$2,184−$40
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceParaguay6,3008¢0¢$0−$504−$14
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes5,4063.7¢0¢$0−$200−$5.78
Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?No2,9705.1¢0¢$0−$152−$62
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano DarderiLuciano Darderi2,02924.4¢0¢$0−$495$0
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael JodarJoao Fonseca1,00048¢0¢$0−$480$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes5009.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha EaglesNC Dinos50053¢0¢$0−$265$0
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Over35842¢0¢$0−$150$0
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)Rodolfo Vieira33474¢0¢$0−$247$0
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes30492¢0¢$0−$280−$0.90
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No20044¢0¢$0−$88$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes20030¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes20021¢0¢$0−$42$0
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs100 Thieves10049¢0¢$0−$49$0
KBO: LG Twins vs. Doosan BearsDoosan Bears9635¢0¢$0−$34$0
Savannah: Kilian Feldbausch vs Jack KennedyKilian Feldbausch5659¢0¢$0−$33$0
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom HeroesSamsung Lions2364¢0¢$0−$15$0
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno BustaPablo Carreno Busta235¢0¢$0−$0.54$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?98¢1,900$1,86276%32
BUY ParaguayParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance8¢6,300$50476%32
BUY YesExtended FDV above $2B one day after launch?4.2¢7,200$30276%32
BUY YesExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?10¢1,200$12076%32
BUY YesExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?77¢4,000$3,08076%32
BUY YesExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?13.5¢750$10176%32
BUY YesExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?31.2¢250$7876%32
BUY YesExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?47¢173$8176%32
BUY YesWill France vs. Iraq end in a draw?3.7¢5,406$20076%32
BUY YesWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.2¢500k$1,00076%32
BUY YesWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.2¢50.0k$10076%32
BUY YesWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢49.4k$4976%32
BUY YesWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢287k$28776%32
BUY YesWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢346k$34676%32
BUY YesWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢193k$19376%32
BUY YesWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢124k$12476%32
BUY YesWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢215k$21576%32
BUY YesWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0.1¢785k$78576%32
BUY YesWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?0.1¢300k$30076%32
BUY NoUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?0.2¢100k$20076%32