PnL all-time+$918kvol $71.0M
PnL 30d−$245gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$31win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate93.2%adj 91.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$12.1kcash n/a
Positions965 / 2,059open / all-time
Max drawdown−78.1%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$921kbelow peak −$69.9kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale85
Adjusted win rateraw 93.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity22
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 100
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 5,514 | 80¢ | 96.1¢ | $5,296 | +$885 | $0 | |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 4,076 | 87¢ | 98.9¢ | $4,029 | +$483 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1,236 | 12.2¢ | 71.3¢ | $882 | +$731 | +$483 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10,000 | 4.1¢ | 5.9¢ | $595 | +$185 | $0 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.7k | 20.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $573 | −$2,041 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 335 | 90¢ | 98¢ | $328 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 3,503 | 32¢ | 5.5¢ | $193 | −$928 | $0 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1,338 | 14¢ | 5.5¢ | $74 | −$114 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 75 | 91¢ | 96.8¢ | $73 | +$4.31 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 384 | 17.1¢ | 8.1¢ | $31 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5 | 91¢ | 95.8¢ | $5.19 | +$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 471 | 2.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.47 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Spread: Warriors (-2.5) | Warriors | 341k | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$170k | $0 | |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) | Knicks | 287k | 49.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$142k | $0 | |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Dolphins | 285k | 51.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$147k | $0 | |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) | Rockets | 282k | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$143k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 237k | 22¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) | Raptors | 226k | 53.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$122k | $0 | |
| Spread: Hawks (-15.5) | Hawks | 224k | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$117k | $0 | |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | Grizzlies | 203k | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103k | $0 | |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | Clippers | 201k | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100k | $0 | |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) | Bucks | 198k | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$101k | $0 | |
| 49ers vs. Eagles | Eagles | 191k | 69.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$132k | $0 | |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) | Grizzlies | 186k | 52.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$97.3k | $0 | |
| Mavericks vs. Knicks | Knicks | 178k | 82¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$146k | $0 | |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Thunder | 173k | 74.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$129k | $0 | |
| Spread: Hornets (-4.5) | Hornets | 167k | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$86.9k | $0 | |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5) | Nets | 164k | 47.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$78.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | Kings | 160k | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75.4k | $0 | |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) | Pelicans | 160k | 51.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$82.7k | $0 | |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) | Nets | 160k | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$78.4k | $0 | |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) | Rams | 156k | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$73.9k | $0 | |
| Buccaneers vs. Seahawks | Seahawks | 155k | 63.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98.4k | $0 | |
| Blue Jays vs. Dodgers | Dodgers | 150k | 63.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$96.0k | $0 | |
| Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5 | Under | 150k | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$78.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | Pelicans | 149k | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74.5k | $0 | |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) | Pelicans | 149k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74.3k | $0 | |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) | Warriors | 146k | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75.5k | $0 | |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks | Bucks | 146k | 54.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$79.0k | $0 | |
| Blue Jays vs. Yankees | Yankees | 145k | 60.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88.1k | $0 | |
| Bulls vs. Heat | Heat | 144k | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$95.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | Trail Blazers | 142k | 50.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$71.4k | $0 | |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Rams | 140k | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64.1k | $0 | |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats | Purdue Boilermakers | 139k | 51.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$71.4k | $0 | |
| Jets vs. Ravens | Jets | 137k | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.1k | $0 | |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) | Magic | 133k | 51¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67.8k | $0 | |
| Rams vs. Ravens | Ravens | 130k | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31.2k | $0 | |
| Grizzlies vs. Clippers | Clippers | 129k | 64.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$83.7k | $0 | |
| Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 41.5 | Under | 128k | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62.5k | $0 | |
| Panthers vs. Oilers | Oilers | 126k | 59¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74.2k | $0 | |
| Spread: Rockets (-13.5) | Jazz | 126k | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64.9k | $0 | |
| LSU vs. Houston | LSU | 123k | 44.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54.7k | $0 | |
| Pistons vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 123k | 45.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55.5k | $0 | |
| Pacers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5 | Over | 118k | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Rockets (-12.5) | Rockets | 115k | 50.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$58.3k | $0 | |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5) | Timberwolves | 115k | 52¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59.6k | $0 | |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) | Heat | 115k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57.3k | $0 | |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) | Timberwolves | 114k | 48¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54.9k | $0 | |
| Wizards vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5 | Over | 114k | 51.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$58.5k | $0 | |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | Pittsburgh Pirates | 113k | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$74.8k | $0 | |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | Raptors | 112k | 54.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61.3k | $0 | |
| Tigers vs. Guardians | Guardians | 112k | 53.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$60.3k | $0 | |
| 76ers vs. Wizards | Wizards | 112k | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40.3k | $0 | |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Lakers | 112k | 48.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$54.5k | $0 | |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Nuggets | 110k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55.1k | $0 | |
| Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | Yes | 109k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$122 | $0 | |
| Nuggets vs. Bucks | Bucks | 108k | 72.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$78.8k | $0 | |
| Pelicans vs. Heat: O/U 246.5 | Over | 108k | 51.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$55.9k | $0 | |
| Spread: Heat (-4.5) | Heat | 107k | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52.1k | $0 | |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jaguars | 107k | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$56.5k | $0 | |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | Knicks | 107k | 82.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$88.4k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 106k | 75.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$79.9k | $0 | |
| Georgia Tech vs. Duke | Duke | 106k | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$64.7k | $0 | |
| Spread: Raptors (-5.5) | Raptors | 106k | 48.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51.3k | $0 | |
| Spread: Minnesota (-1.5) | New Mexico | 105k | 49.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) | Cowboys | 105k | 47.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50.2k | $0 | |
| Texans vs. Chiefs | Chiefs | 103k | 67¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$69.2k | $0 | |
| Kings vs. Thunder | Kings | 102k | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,913 | $0 | |
| Ole Miss vs. Georgia | Georgia | 102k | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$67.3k | $0 | |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) | Pelicans | 102k | 50.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51.0k | $0 | |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 100k | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49.0k | $0 | |
| Bucks vs. Raptors | Raptors | 100.0k | 53.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53.2k | $0 | |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | Atalanta BC | 99.4k | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50.6k | $0 | |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | Kings | 98.8k | 49.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$49.3k | $0 | |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | Rams | 98.8k | 51.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50.5k | $0 | |
| Suns vs. 76ers | 76ers | 98.6k | 45.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44.5k | $0 | |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) | Knicks | 98.5k | 49¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48.3k | $0 | |
| Fiorot vs. Jasudavicius | Jasudavicius | 96.0k | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31.2k | $0 | |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Spurs | 95.4k | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50.6k | $0 | |
| Broncos vs. Texans | Texans | 95.3k | 55¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$52.4k | $0 | |
| Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5 | Under | 92.9k | 51.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$48.1k | $0 | |
| Panthers vs. Stars | Stars | 92.4k | 56¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51.8k | $0 | |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Pacers | 92.1k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46.0k | $0 | |
| Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5 | Over | 90.9k | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45.3k | $0 | |
| Spread: Lions (-7.5) | Lions | 90.5k | 50¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45.3k | $0 | |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Cavaliers | 90.0k | 47¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42.3k | $0 | |
| Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 225.5 | Under | 89.7k | 50.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45.5k | $0 | |
| Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State | Delaware Blue Hens | 89.1k | 58¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51.7k | $0 | |
| Lakers vs. Heat | Heat | 89.0k | 57.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$51.1k | $0 | |
| Rockets vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 89.0k | 47.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$42.4k | $0 |
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