sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Unranked

rocky42019

0x8f1…daae
PnL 10k+1y+WeatherPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$19.3kvol $10.1M
PnL 30d−$3,704gains $5,211 · losses $4,020
PnL 7d−$2,633win rate 7d 61.9%
Win rate48.9%adj 48.9% · 30d 52.5%
Open value$6,618cash n/a
Positions221 / 7,173open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.6%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$18.7kbelow peak −$10.3kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale61
Adjusted win rateraw 48.9% · shrunk toward 50%22
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity59

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No49635.1¢100¢$496+$322+$37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 7?No36955.3¢100¢$369+$165−$2.59
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 7?No35265.7¢100¢$352+$121−$2.27
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No62244.5¢47.4¢$295+$18−$60
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No65738¢38.5¢$253+$3.29$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on September 30?Yes24980¢100¢$249+$50$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 4?No24678.4¢100¢$246+$53+$0.40
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?No87627.3¢24.5¢$215−$25$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No34258¢61¢$209+$10+$7.50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 11?No19065.6¢100¢$190+$65$0
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?No1,19920.3¢15.5¢$186−$58−$19
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes30065.5¢61.4¢$184−$12+$24
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?No12743.5¢100¢$127+$72+$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?No12513.5¢100¢$125+$108+$19
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No32237.9¢38.7¢$124+$2.42−$0.99
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No22652.2¢53.5¢$121+$3.01+$45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 4?No11262.9¢100¢$112+$41+$1.92
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 4?No11143.5¢100¢$111+$63+$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on October 5?No10831.8¢100¢$108+$74+$0.86
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 7?Yes10837.6¢100¢$108+$67+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 7?No10565.9¢100¢$105+$36−$0.82
Counter-Strike: Dynamo Eclot Phoenix vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Majstrovstvá SR PlayoffsLPH Gaming9584¢100¢$95+$15$0
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No9154.3¢99.6¢$91+$41$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?Yes11459¢66¢$76+$8.06+$36
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 7?Yes7383.2¢100¢$73+$12+$3.55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 12?No7153¢100¢$71+$33$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 7?No7061.2¢100¢$70+$27−$6.21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?No6991.4¢100¢$69+$5.95−$0.69
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31?Yes12939¢53.5¢$69+$19+$11
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes6796.9¢100¢$67+$2.08+$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 4?Yes6645.2¢100¢$66+$36−$0.87
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes29923¢20.5¢$61−$7.56+$84
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?No22539.9¢26¢$58−$31$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 4?No5660.9¢100¢$56+$22−$1.37
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?No5564¢100¢$55+$20$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 8?No5168.4¢100¢$51+$16+$1.94
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9?No5160.9¢100¢$51+$20+$1.82
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on October 6?Up5064¢100¢$50+$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 30?No4888¢100¢$48+$5.71−$1.13
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes29119¢15.5¢$45−$10−$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 5?No4381.1¢100¢$43+$8.05$0
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over4229¢100¢$42+$30$0
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?Yes20650¢19.5¢$40−$63−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 8?No4070¢100¢$40+$12+$0.03
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes8740¢46¢$40+$5.20+$39
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?No3959¢100¢$39+$16+$3.84
Will McKenna Grace be the live-action Gwen Stacy?Yes22127¢17.5¢$39−$21$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 8?No3844.9¢100¢$38+$21$0
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes30014¢12.5¢$37−$4.50−$61
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 6?No3658.1¢100¢$36+$15+$0.03
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes29031.9¢12¢$35−$58+$157
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?Yes22922.7¢14.5¢$33−$19$0
Counter-Strike: Glitchtech Esports vs QUAZAR (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonGlitchtech Esports6637.2¢50¢$33+$8.44+$8.46
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 5?Yes325.2¢100¢$32+$31+$1.45
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes1,18112¢2.7¢$32−$110+$1.26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes29916¢10.5¢$31−$16−$28
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?No3139.2¢100¢$31+$19+$3.07
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 8?Yes2914.2¢100¢$29+$25+$12
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes2790¢100¢$27+$2.72$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?Yes2521.5¢100¢$25+$20+$17
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?Yes1389¢17.5¢$24+$12+$2.63
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?Yes10319¢22.5¢$23+$3.56$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 2?Yes2128.5¢100¢$21+$15+$43
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No3039¢69.5¢$21+$9.28−$4.14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 1?No2183.9¢100¢$21+$3.38$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?No23911.1¢8.6¢$21−$5.97$0
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?No3160¢61.5¢$19+$0.47$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 7?Yes1929.4¢100¢$19+$13+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 1?No1778¢100¢$17+$3.85−$2.14
Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election?No5308.3¢3.3¢$17−$27$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 1?No1761.4¢100¢$17+$6.56$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 30?No1663.5¢100¢$16+$5.72+$5.56
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes2996.5¢5.1¢$15−$4.23+$279
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes25016.1¢5.5¢$14−$27−$5.85
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes1390¢98.1¢$13+$1.05$0
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4?Yes1246¢100¢$12+$6.48$0
DAI depeg by December 31?Yes20314¢5¢$10−$18$0
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?No46414¢2.2¢$9.98−$55$0
USD1 depeg by December 31?Yes14416.1¢6¢$8.61−$15+$32
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No1746¢45.5¢$7.88−$0.09$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 9?Yes737¢100¢$7.00+$4.41$0
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes14328.5¢4.6¢$6.58−$34−$8.64
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 9?No660.4¢100¢$6.33+$2.50−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 5?No645.3¢100¢$5.69+$3.11−$34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?Yes538¢100¢$4.76+$2.95$0
USDC depeg by December 31?Yes3003.5¢1.5¢$4.50−$6.00$0
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes349¢100¢$3.28+$1.67$0
Will "Doing Life" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No390.5¢99.3¢$2.93+$0.26$0
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No1149.8¢2.5¢$2.84−$8.34−$41
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes868.2¢3.3¢$2.79−$4.25−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 1?No368¢100¢$2.78+$0.89−$1.06
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes2415.9¢1.2¢$2.77−$11$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes763.4¢3.5¢$2.64+$0.04−$38
Will any other model be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?No2016.7¢1¢$2.01−$12$0
Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week?No1045.1¢1.9¢$1.97−$3.28$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?No254¢84.3¢$1.86+$0.67+$120
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No455.6¢51.5¢$1.83−$0.14−$1.48
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No295.5¢97.2¢$1.79+$0.03+$17
Will Kinetiq reach $0.7 before 2027?No347¢58.4¢$1.61+$0.31+$0.76
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No360.9¢54¢$1.55−$0.20+$131

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?79.8¢40$3249%57
SELL Nuclear TigeRESCounter-Strike: PRIVATE vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs44¢149$6649%57
SELL NoWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?53¢78$4149%57
SELL HOTUMap Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5)46¢11$5.0649%57
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 9?65.3¢5$3.2749%57
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?57¢18$1049%57
SELL DownWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?33¢50$1749%57
SELL NoWill there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?55¢123$6849%57
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 6?59¢5$2.9549%57
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 6?59¢5$2.9549%57
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 5?50¢12$6.0049%57
SELL YesWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?22.5¢200$4549%57
SELL YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?25¢70$1849%57
SELL YesWill Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?87¢34$3049%57
SELL NoWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?55¢23$1349%57
SELL NoWill Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?38¢126$4849%57
SELL YesWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?54¢20$1149%57
SELL NoWill Internacional FC De Palmira win on 2026-09-28?14¢116$1649%57
SELL YesWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?54¢16$8.6449%57
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?50¢34$1749%57