sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,033

DumbMoney1

0x8f2…c7d0
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$196kvol $13.6M
PnL 30d−$6,942gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$7,000win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.5%adj 46.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$7,000cash n/a
Positions34 / 763open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.5%of equity peak
Account age5.3ylast trade 42d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$196kbelow peak −$28.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 46.5% · shrunk toward 50%17
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity75

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 34

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No7,00094.6¢100¢$7,000+$380$0
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes50.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes28.3k5.6¢0¢$0−$1,589+$232
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes26.5k57.8¢0¢$0−$15.3k−$8,991
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes20.2k2.8¢0¢$0−$565+$8.36
Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes20.2k5.8¢0¢$0−$1,180−$17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No19.6k1.8¢0¢$0−$343+$15.0k
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No15.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes15.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No12.7k20.2¢0¢$0−$2,559−$47
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?Yes9,51010.8¢0¢$0−$1,030$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes6,0002.7¢0¢$0−$162$0
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes4,90917¢0¢$0−$833+$1,813
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes4,4659.9¢0¢$0−$443$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win Manhattan in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes3,9031.1¢0¢$0−$43$0
Will Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes3,4260.1¢0¢$0−$3.84−$0.04
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?Yes2,9590.6¢0¢$0−$18$0
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes2,89214¢0¢$0−$405$0
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes2,51711.7¢0¢$0−$296$0
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?Yes2,26014.3¢0¢$0−$323$0
Will less than 4 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$2.00+$28
Will 22-24 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes1,7261.9¢0¢$0−$33+$2.27
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes1,41915¢0¢$0−$213−$0.08
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No1,2398.2¢0¢$0−$101−$1.52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes1,02538¢0¢$0−$389$0
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes84214¢0¢$0−$118$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?Yes80512¢0¢$0−$97$0
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes7074.3¢0¢$0−$31+$25
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2025?Yes5003.5¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will 25 or more SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?Yes4753.5¢0¢$0−$17−$109
Will turnout be between 1100000 and 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Yes34611.4¢0¢$0−$39−$380
Nara & Lucky divorce in 2025?Yes28611¢0¢$0−$31+$4.26
Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?Yes19023¢0¢$0−$44+$432
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?No17634.3¢0¢$0−$60$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?94¢5,000$4,70047%52
BUY YesWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?64¢821$52547%52
BUY YesWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?67¢920$61747%52
BUY YesWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?66¢425$28047%52
BUY YesWill Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?0.2¢460$0.9247%52
BUY NoWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?17¢843$14347%52
BUY YesWill Caleb Wilson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?0.1¢366$0.3747%52
BUY NoWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?79¢228$18047%52
BUY YesWill Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?57.8¢212$12247%52
BUY NoWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?77.8¢1,387$1,07947%52
BUY YesWill Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?6.8¢859$5847%52
BUY NoWill AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?22.5¢8,278$1,85947%52
BUY YesWill Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?6.7¢2,711$18247%52
BUY NoWill Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?43.4¢3,234$1,40347%52
BUY YesWill Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?6.7¢5,000$33447%52
BUY YesWill Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?5.8¢251$1547%52
BUY YesWill AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?15¢20$3.0047%52
BUY YesWill Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?23¢151$3547%52
BUY YesWill Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?4.6¢109$5.0547%52
BUY YesWill Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?3.9¢319$1247%52